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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 3, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York

Minnesota Wild 3, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 86% of the time.

NYR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:52Shot by Wolski, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 3:13Goal by Avery (Christensen, Prospal)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McCabe, Prospal, Avery, Christensen, Gilroy · MIN Schultz, Peters, Burns, Staubitz, Wellman

  4. P1 5:38Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Theodore
  5. P1 6:11Theodore: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McCabe, Prospal, Avery, Christensen, Gilroy · MIN Peters, Stoner, Staubitz, Spurgeon, Wellman

  6. P1 10:02Shot by Prospal, saved by Theodore
  7. P1 13:06Shot by Avery, saved by Theodore
  8. P1 14:04Clutterbuck: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, Anisimov, McDonagh · MIN Cullen, Schultz, Peters, Burns, Clutterbuck

  9. P1 14:58Shot by Callahan, saved by Theodore5v4
  10. P1 16:12Shot by Anisimov, saved by Theodore
  11. P1 16:15Shot by Girardi, saved by Theodore
  12. P1 17:17Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 17:19Shot by Havlat, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 18:37Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:49Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore
  18. P2 1:19Shot by Havlat, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P2 2:18Shot by Wolski, saved by Theodore
  20. P2 3:08Christensen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McCabe, Prospal, Avery, Christensen, Gilroy · MIN Schultz, Peters, Burns, Staubitz, Wellman

  21. P2 3:37Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  22. P2 4:04Shot by Cullen, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  23. P2 4:36Goal by Brodziak (Spurgeon, Bouchard)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Prust, Sauer, McDonagh · MIN Havlat, Bouchard, Burns, Brodziak, Spurgeon

  24. P2 4:43Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore
  25. P2 6:43Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore
  26. P2 8:51Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore
  27. P2 9:05Zanon: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Prospal, Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, Anisimov, McDonagh · MIN Zanon, Peters, Zidlicky, Staubitz, Wellman

  28. P2 9:25Shot by Christensen, saved by Theodore5v4
  29. P2 9:54Shot by Prospal, saved by Theodore5v4
  30. P2 10:00Shot by Christensen, saved by Theodore5v4
  31. P2 11:07Shot by Boyle, saved by Theodore
  32. P2 12:25Shot by Brunette, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 12:36Goal by Wellman (Burns, Brunette)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McCabe, Fedotenko, Boyle, Prust, Gilroy · MIN Brunette, Zanon, Peters, Burns, Wellman

  34. P2 13:05Shot by McDonagh, saved by Theodore
  35. P2 13:41Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 13:44Shot by Wolski, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 13:50Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 14:27Shot by Girardi, saved by Theodore
  39. P2 14:40Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore
  40. P2 14:53Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore
  41. P2 15:16Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 18:02Shot by Havlat, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 19:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Theodore
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:50Shot by Zidlicky, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P3 0:53Shot by Zidlicky, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P3 2:36Shot by Stepan, saved by Theodore
  49. P3 2:55Shot by Prospal, saved by Theodore
  50. P3 4:24Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P3 4:40Shot by Boyle, saved by Theodore
  52. P3 5:09Shot by Avery, saved by Theodore
  53. P3 5:24Shot by Miettinen, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 6:14Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore
  55. P3 6:36Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore
  56. P3 7:18Shot by Havlat, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 7:34Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Theodore
  58. P3 8:15Goal by Bouchard (Havlat, Brodziak)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Avery, Boyle, Prust, Girardi, Gilroy · MIN Havlat, Schultz, Bouchard, Burns, Brodziak

  59. P3 8:45Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore
  60. P3 9:32Burns: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR McCabe, Prospal, Wolski, Sauer, Stepan, Zuccarello · MIN Brunette, Cullen, Miettinen, Zidlicky, Burns

  61. P3 9:42Shot by McCabe, saved by Theodore5v4
  62. P3 10:53Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Theodore5v4
  63. P3 11:08Shot by Stepan, saved by Theodore5v4
  64. P3 11:31Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Theodore5v4
  65. P3 11:55Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 15:02Shot by Zidlicky, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 15:53Shot by Sauer, saved by Theodore
  68. P3 17:22Shot by Stepan, saved by Theodore
  69. P3 18:17Shot by Anisimov, saved by Theodore6v5
  70. P3 19:35Shot by Boyle, saved by Theodore6v5
  71. P3 0:00Havlat: Elbowing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR McCabe, Christensen, Dubinsky, Callahan, Stepan, Zuccarello · MIN Cullen, Havlat, Zanon, Zidlicky, Brodziak

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final