Sat, Mar 5, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 114 | 013 | 29 | 336 |
| LAK | 14 | 08 | 010 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:28LAKDustin PennerAssists: Brad Richardson, Justin Williams · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 9:16VANJannik HansenAssists: Raffi Torres · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–1
- P3 11:36VANDaniel SedinGWGAssists: Christian Ehrhoff, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.34 xG2–1
- P3 19:23VANAlexandre BurrowsENAssists: Manny Malhotra · Backhand, 0.53 xG3–1
Penalties (17)
- P1 2:36LAKMatt Greene: Roughing2 min
- P1 2:36VANManny Malhotra: Roughing2 min
- P1 2:36LAKKyle Clifford: Roughing2 min
- P1 6:16LAKWayne Simmonds: Slashing2 min
- P1 10:29LAKDrew Doughty: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:29VANDaniel Sedin: Interference2 min
- P1 12:14VANKeith Ballard: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:44LAKWillie Mitchell: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:27LAKAlexei Ponikarovsky: Boarding2 min
- P3 1:03VANHenrik Sedin: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 3:48LAKMichal Handzus: High sticking2 min
- P3 6:31VANAaron Rome: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:57VANMikael Samuelsson: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:14VANKeith Ballard: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:14VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:14LAKDrew Doughty: Diving2 min
- P3 19:23LAKDrew Doughty: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows8:02
xG 1.02–0.20 (83%)attempts 15–6goals 1–0
- Samuelsson – Kesler – Raymond7:45
xG 0.60–0.19 (77%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen9:05
xG 0.53–0.14 (79%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Tambellini – Lapierre – Glass6:18
xG 0.08–0.04 (66%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Ehrhoff11:08
xG 0.99–0.21 (83%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Salo – Rome8:57
xG 0.57–0.31 (65%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Ballard – Tanev6:46
xG 0.34–0.26 (57%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Ponikarovsky – Lewis – Clifford4:14
xG 0.06–0.01 (86%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Handzus – Ponikarovsky – Simmonds2:11
xG 0.05–0.05 (52%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Smyth – Stoll – Simmonds5:14
xG 0.01–0.29 (5%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Williams – Penner – Kopitar8:00
xG 0.25–0.57 (30%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Martinez7:42
xG 0.07–0.02 (80%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Greene2:29
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty13:10
xG 0.46–1.10 (29%)attempts 8–18goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).