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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 15, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Buffalo Sabres 0

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Ruutu: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers · CAR Stillman, Corvo, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Sutter

  3. P1 0:17Mancari: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers · CAR Stillman, Corvo, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Sutter

  4. P1 0:43Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward4v4
  5. P1 3:52Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward
  6. P1 4:09Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller
  7. P1 4:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Ward
  8. P1 4:39Shot by Ennis, saved by Ward
  9. P1 5:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  10. P1 5:17Shot by Cole, saved by Miller5v6
  11. P1 5:22Gaustad: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Mancari, Gerbe, Weber · CAR Corvo, Cole, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, Skinner

  12. P1 6:56Shot by Joslin, saved by Miller4v5
  13. P1 8:31Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward
  14. P1 8:52Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  15. P1 9:55Shot by Mancari, saved by Ward
  16. P1 10:36Shot by Dwyer, saved by Miller
  17. P1 10:51Shot by McCormick, saved by Ward
  18. P1 10:56Niedermayer: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Leopold, Montador, McCormick · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Dwyer, Bowman, Samson

  19. P1 11:28Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller4v5
  20. P1 11:51Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller4v5
  21. P1 13:08Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Ward
  22. P1 13:16Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward
  23. P1 14:22Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  24. P1 14:59Shot by Gaustad, saved by Ward
  25. P1 15:07Shot by Gaustad, saved by Ward
  26. P1 15:02Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  27. P1 16:02Shot by Ennis, saved by Ward
  28. P1 16:10Shot by Leopold, saved by Ward
  29. P1 16:39Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward
  30. P1 17:08Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Ward
  31. P1 17:12Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  32. P1 17:16Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  33. P1 17:31Shot by Pominville, saved by Ward
  34. P1 17:52Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Miller
  35. P1 18:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  36. P1 18:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  37. P1 18:43Shot by Cole, saved by Miller
  38. P1 18:56Shot by Grier, saved by Ward
  39. P1 19:15Shot by Joslin, saved by Miller
  40. P1 19:17Goal by Sutter (Joslin, LaRose)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Leopold, Montador, McCormick · CAR Allen, LaRose, Joslin, Tlusty, Sutter

  41. P1 0:00Staal: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers · CAR Stillman, Corvo, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal

  42. P1 0:00Period end
  43. P2 0:00Period start
  44. P2 0:15Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward5v4
  45. P2 2:11Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  46. P2 2:30Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller
  47. P2 3:17Shot by McCormick, saved by Ward
  48. P2 4:02Shot by Mancari, saved by Ward
  49. P2 4:11Shot by Pominville, saved by Ward
  50. P2 5:43Shot by Dwyer, saved by Miller
  51. P2 5:58Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  52. P2 6:00Shot by Mancari, saved by Ward
  53. P2 6:07Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  54. P2 6:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  55. P2 9:16Sekera: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Mancari, Myers · CAR LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal, Joslin, Skinner

  56. P2 10:24Shot by Staal, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P2 10:35Shot by Pominville, saved by Ward4v5
  58. P2 12:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  59. P2 13:11Pitkanen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Gerbe, Myers · CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Joslin, Skinner

  60. P2 13:11Gerbe: Diving (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Gerbe, Myers · CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Joslin, Skinner

  61. P2 13:34Shot by Montador, saved by Ward4v4
  62. P2 15:21Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller
  63. P2 17:03Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  64. P2 18:11Shot by Samson, saved by Miller
  65. P2 19:36Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Miller
  66. P2 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:18Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller
  69. P3 0:19Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  70. P3 1:00Shot by Gaustad, saved by Ward
  71. P3 1:38Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward
  72. P3 2:39Shot by Joslin, saved by Miller
  73. P3 2:44Bowman: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Montador, Pominville, Vanek · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Dwyer, Bowman, Samson

  74. P3 2:52Shot by Mancari, saved by Ward5v4
  75. P3 5:50Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Connolly, Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Jokinen, Pitkanen

  76. P3 6:00Shot by Ennis, saved by Ward5v4
  77. P3 6:09Shot by Dwyer, saved by Miller5v4
  78. P3 6:45Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward5v4
  79. P3 7:18Shot by Pominville, saved by Ward5v4
  80. P3 8:10Vanek: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Pominville · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Skinner

  81. P3 11:27Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller
  82. P3 11:56Shot by Cole, saved by Miller
  83. P3 13:43Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  84. P3 14:03Shot by Ennis, saved by Ward
  85. P3 14:12Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  86. P3 15:52Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  87. P3 16:19Montador: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Boyes, Montador, Ennis · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, Staal, Skinner

  88. P3 17:01Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Miller4v5
  89. P3 18:44Shot by Tlusty, saved by Miller
  90. P3 18:56Shot by Pominville, saved by Ward6v5
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final