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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 24, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 2, New York Rangers 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 53% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by Neil, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 4:36Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 5:18Shot by Shannon, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 7:57Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 10:17Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 10:26Shot by Winchester, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 11:43Shot by Kuba, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 12:07Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 12:39Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 15:29Shot by Kuba, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 15:32Svatos: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Prospal, Gaborik, Christensen, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Kuba, Svatos, Shannon, Condra, Wiercioch

  13. P1 16:27Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson5v4
  14. P1 17:48Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 19:36Sauer: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wolski, Sauer, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello · OTT Kuba, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Smith

  16. P1 19:36Smith: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Wolski, Sauer, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello · OTT Kuba, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Smith

  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:45Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Eminger, Christensen, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Phillips, Lee, Foligno, Smith, Winchester

  20. P2 1:45Sauer: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Eminger, Christensen, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Phillips, Lee, Foligno, Smith, Winchester

  21. P2 4:48Shot by Prospal, saved by Anderson
  22. P2 5:17Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 7:09Shot by Winchester, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 8:20Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 8:44Shot by Christensen, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 9:22Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 10:27Shot by Svatos, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 10:46Shot by Lee, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 11:11Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 12:58Wolski: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wolski, Sauer, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello · OTT Hale, Wick, Lee, Condra, Winchester

  31. P2 13:20Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  32. P2 13:27Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  33. P2 14:24Shot by Butler, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  34. P2 15:21Goal by Shannon (Butler, Foligno)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Prospal, Gaborik, Christensen, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Shannon, Foligno, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Butler

  35. P2 16:27Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 19:11Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 19:12Shot by Prospal, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 19:35Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 19:34Shot by Anisimov, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:27Shot by Prospal, saved by Anderson
  43. P3 2:45Goal by Prust (Staal, Fedotenko)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Prust, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov · OTT Phillips, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Smith

  44. P3 4:19Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P3 4:59Shot by Svatos, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P3 5:27Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 8:35Shot by Butler, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P3 9:32Shot by Wolski, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 10:56Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 11:14Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 11:17Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 11:47McDonagh: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · OTT Phillips, Hale, Spezza, Svatos, Shannon, Condra

  53. P3 12:37Shot by Kuba, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  54. P3 12:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  55. P3 14:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 15:01Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 15:10Shot by Svatos, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 15:33Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 17:24Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 18:06Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 18:20Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 18:20Dubinsky: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Phillips, Hale, Foligno, Smith, Winchester

  63. P3 18:20Boyle: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Phillips, Hale, Foligno, Smith, Winchester

  64. P3 18:20Winchester: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Phillips, Hale, Foligno, Smith, Winchester

  65. P3 18:20Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dubinsky, Callahan, Sauer, McDonagh · OTT Phillips, Hale, Foligno, Smith, Winchester

  66. P3 18:34Shot by Shannon, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 19:34Neil: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wolski, Callahan, Sauer, McDonagh, Stepan · OTT Phillips, Neil, Lee, Greening, Foligno

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. OT 0:00Period start
  70. OT 0:33Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson4v3
  71. OT 1:00Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson4v3
  72. OT 1:38Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson4v4
  73. OT 1:45Shot by Neil, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  74. OT 1:55Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Anderson4v4
  75. OT 2:02Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  76. OT 1:57Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson4v4
  77. OT 2:29Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson4v4
  78. OT 2:44Shot by Lee, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  79. OT 4:29Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  80. OT 5:00Period end
  81. SO Period start
  82. SO Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvistother
  83. SO Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersonother
  84. SO Shot by Wolski, saved by Andersonother
  85. SO Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvistother
  86. SO Shot by Callahan, saved by Andersonother
  87. SO Goal by Karlsson, unassistedother
  88. SO Period end
  89. SO Final