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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 24, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Anaheim Ducks 4, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.

NSH winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:29Shot by Legwand, saved by Hiller
  4. P1 0:59Shot by Spaling, saved by Hiller
  5. P1 1:06Shot by Tootoo, saved by Hiller
  6. P1 2:00Shot by Franson, saved by Hiller
  7. P1 2:04Goal by Kostitsyn (Hornqvist, Franson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, O'Brien, Franson, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · ANA Marchant, Sbisa, McMillan, Sexton, Fowler

  8. P1 4:16Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Hiller
  9. P1 4:43Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 5:35Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 6:02Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 6:43Shot by Geoffrion, saved by Hiller
  13. P1 8:43Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 8:49Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 10:12Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 11:18Goal by Spaling (Blum, Tootoo)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Blum · ANA Beauchemin, Winchester, Sbisa, McMillan, Sexton

  17. P1 11:37Goal by Kostitsyn (Hornqvist, Klein)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Blum · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Lilja, Fowler

  18. P1 12:27Shot by Tootoo, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 13:24Shot by Lilja, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 13:26Ruutu: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, O'Brien, Franson, Geoffrion, Wilson · ANA Marchant, Ruutu, Lilja, Brookbank, Fowler

  21. P1 13:54Shot by Ward, saved by Ellis5v4
  22. P1 14:04Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis5v4
  23. P1 16:01Goal by Perry (Ryan, Getzlaf)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Blum · ANA Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  24. P1 17:20Franson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Ward, O'Brien, Franson · ANA Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  25. P1 17:45Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne4v5
  26. P1 18:11Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne4v5
  27. P1 18:27Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne4v5
  28. P1 18:35Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne4v5
  29. P1 18:43Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne4v5
  30. P1 18:57Shot by Koivu, saved by Rinne4v5
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:14Shot by Legwand, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 0:22Shot by Erat, saved by Ellis
  35. P2 4:23Lilja: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, O'Brien, Franson, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Lilja, Fowler

  36. P2 4:36Shot by Suter, saved by Ellis5v4
  37. P2 4:42Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis5v4
  38. P2 4:43Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis5v4
  39. P2 6:14Shot by Fisher, saved by Ellis5v4
  40. P2 6:31Shot by Lilja, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 7:03Shot by Suter, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 7:44Shot by Fowler, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 8:15Shot by Ward, saved by Ellis
  44. P2 10:33Shot by Dumont, saved by Ellis
  45. P2 13:43Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 18:20Goal by Tootoo (O'Brien, Spaling)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, O'Brien, Franson, Spaling · ANA Lilja, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Sbisa

  47. P2 18:42Shot by Ruutu, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 19:37Shot by Lydman, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:19Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 1:59Shot by Sexton, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 3:05Shot by Lilja, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 3:44Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 3:58Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 4:11McMillan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Ward, Klein, Blum · ANA Lydman, Lilja, Ryan, McMillan, Sexton

  57. P3 4:42Hornqvist: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · ANA Lydman, Lilja, Perry, Ryan

  58. P3 6:44Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 7:19Shot by Erat, saved by Ellis
  60. P3 7:57O'Brien: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Klein, O'Brien, Geoffrion, Wilson · ANA Lydman, Blake, Visnovsky, McMillan, Sexton

  61. P3 9:02Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne4v5
  62. P3 9:29Goal by Legwand (Ward, Klein)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Ward, Klein, Blum · ANA Koivu, Beauchemin, Winchester, Ryan, Sbisa

  63. P3 9:29Ward: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Ward, Klein, Blum · ANA Koivu, Beauchemin, Winchester, Ryan, Sbisa

  64. P3 9:39Goal by Selanne (Getzlaf, Perry)3v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry

  65. P3 11:03Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis4v5
  66. P3 11:10Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne4v5
  67. P3 12:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ellis
  68. P3 13:51Shot by Legwand, saved by Ellis
  69. P3 14:21Spaling: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Blum · ANA Koivu, Lydman, Winchester, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry

  70. P3 14:41Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne4v5
  71. P3 15:00O'Brien: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Smithson, Klein, O'Brien · ANA Selanne, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler

  72. P3 15:14Goal by Selanne (Getzlaf, Visnovsky)3v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry

  73. P3 16:02Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne4v5
  74. P3 16:15Shot by Winchester, saved by Rinne4v5
  75. P3 16:43Shot by Sbisa, saved by Rinne4v5
  76. P3 17:03Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne
  77. P3 18:30Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Rinne5v6
  78. P3 18:59Shot by Fowler, saved by Rinne5v6
  79. P3 19:33Goal by Perry, unassisted5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Spaling · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan

  80. P3 19:45Shot by Smithson, saved by Ellis
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final