Thu, Mar 24, 2011·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Phoenix Coyotes 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 08 | 09 | 011 | 028 |
| PHX | 09 | 210 | 14 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:51PHXMichal RozsivalPPGWGAssists: Vernon Fiddler, David Schlemko · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 18:44PHXDerek MorrisAssists: Shane Doan, Taylor Pyatt · Backhand, 0.25 xG0–2
- P3 15:01PHXMikkel BoedkerAssists: Keith Yandle, Lee Stempniak · Wrist, 0.29 xG0–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 10:31PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:31CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:35CBJSami Lepisto: Holding2 min
- P2 0:50CBJRick Nash: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 1:49PHXRay Whitney: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 2:22CBJSami Lepisto: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:33CBJJakub Voracek: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:25PHXMichal Rozsival: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:09PHXEric Belanger: High sticking2 min
- P3 18:22PHXRadim Vrbata: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:22CBJR.J. Umberger: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Fiddler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestPahlsson – Dorsett – Calvert4:58
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Vermette – Umberger – Upshall14:14
xG 0.43–0.33 (56%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Nash – Brassard – Calvert5:17
xG 0.09–0.13 (40%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Mayorov6:41
xG 0.19–0.59 (25%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Methot14:58
xG 0.37–0.23 (62%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Hejda – Lepisto17:12
xG 0.43–0.46 (48%)attempts 18–12goals 0–1
- Rivet – Russell9:02
xG 0.25–1.23 (17%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Belanger – Pyatt12:28
xG 0.71–0.25 (74%)attempts 12–16goals 1–0
- Fiddler – Stempniak – Boedker10:20
xG 0.60–0.16 (79%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Doan – Pyatt – Fiddler2:05
xG 0.19–0.04 (82%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Bissonnette – Ebbett – MacLean2:11
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle16:00
xG 1.17–0.30 (79%)attempts 14–13goals 2–0
- Rozsival – Schlemko11:19
xG 0.45–0.31 (60%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Klesla15:49
xG 0.28–0.49 (36%)attempts 10–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).