Tue, Mar 29, 2011·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Dallas Stars 1, Phoenix Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 012 | 118 | 013 | 02 | 1 | 145 |
| PHX | 08 | 19 | 07 | 03 | 2 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:09PHXDavid SchlemkoAssists: Michal Rozsival, Eric Belanger · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 17:34DALJamie BennPPAssists: Stephane Robidas, Jamie Langenbrunner · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. PHX Shane Doan stopped
- 2. DAL Jamie Benn scored
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 4. DAL Brad Richards stopped
- 5. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 6. DAL Mike Ribeiro stopped
- 7. PHX Lee Stempniak stopped
- 8. DAL Jason Williams stopped
- 9. PHX Ray Whitney scored
- 10. DAL Loui Eriksson stopped
Penalties (3)
- P1 16:46PHXMikkel Boedker: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:06DALMike Ribeiro: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:23PHXVernon Fiddler: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Benn
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestMorrow – Ribeiro – Benn11:26
xG 0.65–0.23 (74%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Barch – Petersen – Wandell5:22
xG 0.56–0.22 (72%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Langenbrunner – Benn – Vincour6:26
xG 0.28–0.05 (85%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Richards – Ott – Eriksson13:54
xG 0.49–0.32 (61%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLukowich – Goligoski11:06
xG 0.75–0.30 (72%)attempts 19–8goals 0–0
- Woywitka – Daley14:23
xG 0.42–0.20 (68%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Robidas – Fistric14:15
xG 0.55–0.38 (59%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- Pyatt – Fiddler – Stempniak16:12
xG 0.55–0.55 (50%)attempts 14–21goals 0–0
- Hollweg – MacLean – Turris3:30
xG 0.02–0.14 (12%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Whitney – Doan – Belanger15:53
xG 0.36–0.63 (36%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Ebbett – Boedker11:24
xG 0.45–0.89 (34%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Aucoin – Klesla17:51
xG 0.56–0.52 (52%)attempts 16–17goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Schlemko15:25
xG 0.50–0.94 (35%)attempts 13–19goals 1–0
- Morris – Yandle19:03
xG 0.27–0.84 (24%)attempts 16–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).