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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 31, 2011·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Ottawa Senators 4, Florida Panthers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 72% of the time.

FLA winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:33Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:41Hordichuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Hordichuk, Bernier, Carter, Garrison · OTT Phillips, Lessard, Svatos, Lee, Winchester

  4. P1 2:41Lessard: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Hordichuk, Bernier, Carter, Garrison · OTT Phillips, Lessard, Svatos, Lee, Winchester

  5. P1 4:19Shot by Butler, saved by Clemmensen
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Karlsson, saved by Clemmensen
  7. P1 5:28Goal by Foligno, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Callahan, Booth, Santorelli, Wilson, Dadonov · OTT Neil, Hale, Foligno, Smith, Wiercioch

  8. P1 7:40Winchester: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Bernier, Booth, Carter, Ellerby, Kulikov · OTT Hale, Svatos, Greening, Winchester, Wiercioch

  9. P1 7:40Carter: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Bernier, Booth, Carter, Ellerby, Kulikov · OTT Hale, Svatos, Greening, Winchester, Wiercioch

  10. P1 7:59Shot by Santorelli, saved by Anderson4v4
  11. P1 8:00Shot by Booth, saved by Anderson4v4
  12. P1 8:31Shot by Karlsson, saved by Clemmensen4v4
  13. P1 8:39Shot by Weiss, saved by Anderson4v4
  14. P1 10:58Shot by Condra, saved by Clemmensen
  15. P1 11:23Shot by Reasoner, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 12:05Shot by Phillips, saved by Clemmensen
  17. P1 14:10Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Callahan, Booth, Santorelli, Dadonov, Ellerby · OTT Kuba, Michalek, Condra, Smith, Karlsson

  18. P1 15:13Shot by Michalek, saved by Clemmensen5v4
  19. P1 15:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson5v4
  20. P1 15:43Shot by Reasoner, saved by Anderson5v4
  21. P1 18:10Shot by Butler, saved by Clemmensen
  22. P1 18:32Butler: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Booth, Santorelli, Repik, Ellerby · OTT Phillips, Hale, Spezza, Greening, Butler

  23. P1 19:32Shot by Garrison, saved by Anderson5v4
  24. P1 19:42Shot by Bernier, saved by Anderson5v4
  25. P1 19:42Shot by Weiss, saved by Anderson5v4
  26. P1 19:59Shot by Bergfors, saved by Anderson5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:19Shot by Garrison, saved by Anderson5v4
  30. P2 2:30Goal by Greening (Svatos)+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Reasoner, Rissmiller, Repik, Ellerby, Kulikov · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Svatos, Greening, Wiercioch

  31. P2 3:02Shot by Michalek, saved by Clemmensen
  32. P2 4:45Shot by Bergfors, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 4:50Shot by Bergfors, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 6:01Shot by Repik, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 6:02Goal by Repik (Reasoner)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Reasoner, Callahan, Rissmiller, Wilson, Repik · OTT Michalek, Shannon, Lee, Condra, Wiercioch

  36. P2 6:25Shot by Butler, saved by Clemmensen
  37. P2 6:31Shot by Greening, saved by Clemmensen
  38. P2 6:36Goal by Greening (Svatos, Phillips)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Samsonov, Weaver, Weiss, Booth, Garrison · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Svatos, Greening, Wiercioch

  39. P2 8:14Shot by Rissmiller, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 9:13Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Hordichuk, Bergfors, Carter, Ellerby, Kulikov · OTT Phillips, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Smith

  41. P2 10:18Shot by Samsonov, saved by Anderson5v4
  42. P2 10:38Shot by Booth, saved by Anderson5v4
  43. P2 13:47Shot by Lee, saved by Clemmensen
  44. P2 13:58Shot by Kuba, saved by Clemmensen
  45. P2 14:24Goal by Kuba (Condra, Shannon)+6 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Booth, Santorelli, Dadonov, Ellerby, Kulikov · OTT Kuba, Hale, Michalek, Shannon, Condra

  46. P2 15:36Shot by Bernier, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 15:50Shot by Winchester, saved by Clemmensen
  48. P2 16:34Shot by Samsonov, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 17:22Shot by Santorelli, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 17:58Shot by Reasoner, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 18:28Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 19:35Shot by Samsonov, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 19:56Shot by Booth, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:16Shot by Spezza, saved by Clemmensen
  57. P3 0:54Shot by Reasoner, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 2:44Shot by Ellerby, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 2:44Shot by Santorelli, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 4:07Shot by Garrison, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 6:20Shot by Garrison, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 7:05Shot by Rissmiller, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 7:10Shot by Samsonov, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 7:18Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 8:37Shot by Santorelli, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 10:32Shot by Michalek, saved by Clemmensen
  67. P3 10:41Callahan: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Hordichuk, Callahan, Bernier, Wilson, Carter · OTT Kuba, Michalek, Shannon, Condra, Wiercioch

  68. P3 13:54Shot by Bergfors, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 14:53Shot by Kuba, saved by Clemmensen
  70. P3 15:19Shot by Greening, saved by Clemmensen
  71. P3 15:21Shot by Greening, saved by Clemmensen
  72. P3 15:48Shot by Bernier, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 16:04Shot by Carter, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 17:03Shot by Hale, saved by Clemmensen
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final