Sat, Apr 9, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 3, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 211 | 15 | 04 | 320 |
| LAK | 015 | 119 | 010 | 144 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:27ANABrandon McMillanUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 15:41ANASaku KoivuPPGWGAssists: Corey Perry, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–0
- P2 8:54ANAFrancois BeaucheminPPAssists: Saku Koivu, Lubomir Visnovsky · Slap, 0.05 xG3–0
- P2 18:24LAKRyan SmythPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Jack Johnson · Tip-in, 0.22 xG3–1
Penalties (20)
- P1 1:23ANAFrancois Beauchemin: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 6:44ANAJarkko Ruutu: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:58ANALubomir Visnovsky: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:58LAKJarret Stoll: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:58ANALubomir Visnovsky: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:23LAKRyan Smyth: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 15:12LAKMatt Greene: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:48ANAGeorge Parros: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:48LAKKevin Westgarth: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:57LAKKevin Westgarth: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:48ANAMatt Beleskey: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 17:16ANAToni Lydman: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 11:51ANAFrancois Beauchemin: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:38LAKBrad Richardson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 16:38LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:38ANASheldon Brookbank: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:38LAKBrad Richardson: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:38ANATeemu Selanne: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:38ANASheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:38LAKWayne Simmonds: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestWinchester – Getzlaf – Perry6:06
xG 0.37–0.14 (73%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Blake10:25
xG 0.37–0.24 (61%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Ryan2:08
xG 0.05–0.02 (74%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Winchester – Ryan – McMillan2:58
xG 0.02–0.01 (68%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVisnovsky – Fowler4:57
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Lydman – Beauchemin4:53
xG 0.01–0.04 (23%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Brookbank – Fowler8:00
xG 0.19–0.26 (42%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Simmonds – Clifford10:17
xG 0.33–0.19 (64%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Smyth – Ponikarovsky – Stoll3:03
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Smyth – Stoll – Moller4:20
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Handzus – Brown – Penner11:41
xG 0.43–0.55 (44%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Doughty12:06
xG 0.48–0.21 (70%)attempts 16–5goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez8:33
xG 0.17–0.03 (86%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Johnson – Doughty2:24
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).