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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 18, 2011·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Dallas Stars 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 90% of the time.

CBJ winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:47Shot by Vermette, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Russell, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 3:31Shot by Savard, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 5:26Shot by Martinek, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 6:06Shot by Dowell, saved by Mason
  8. P1 7:31Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen
  9. P1 8:11Shot by Burish, saved by Mason
  10. P1 11:00Shot by Mayorov, saved by Lehtonen
  11. P1 11:17Shot by Pardy, saved by Mason
  12. P1 11:22Shot by Eriksson, saved by Mason
  13. P1 11:41Ott: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CBJ Pahlsson, Martinek, Clitsome, Dorsett, Brassard, Mayorov · DAL Ott, Eriksson, Goligoski, Pardy, Benn

  14. P1 12:56Shot by Clitsome, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  15. P1 13:27Shot by Prospal, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  16. P1 13:59Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 17:07Bass: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Tyutin, Bass, Savard, Johansen · DAL Dvorak, Burish, Goligoski, Dowell, Pardy

  18. P1 17:07Dowell: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Tyutin, Bass, Savard, Johansen · DAL Dvorak, Burish, Goligoski, Dowell, Pardy

  19. P1 19:24Shot by Tyutin, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 19:30Shot by Prospal, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:42Shot by Souray, saved by Mason
  24. P2 2:43Shot by Goligoski, saved by Mason
  25. P2 3:38Shot by Dowell, saved by Mason
  26. P2 4:17Goal by Ott (Eriksson, Benn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Pahlsson, Martinek, Clitsome, Dorsett, Mayorov · DAL Souray, Robidas, Ott, Eriksson, Benn

  27. P2 6:44Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehtonen
  28. P2 6:46Johansen: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Umberger, Tyutin, Savard, Johansen · DAL Souray, Robidas, Ott, Eriksson, Dowell

  29. P2 7:17Robidas: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Pahlsson, Martinek, Tyutin, Dorsett · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Ryder, Goligoski

  30. P2 8:23Shot by Daley, saved by Mason4v4
  31. P2 8:31Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  32. P2 8:34Morrow: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Martinek, Nash, Russell, Brassard · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Daley, Goligoski, Pardy

  33. P2 9:18Shot by Tyutin, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  34. P2 10:05Shot by Russell, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  35. P2 12:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 13:17Shot by Umberger, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 14:17Shot by Savard, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 14:31Shot by Prospal, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 14:47Shot by Prospal, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 15:10Savard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Vermette, Tyutin, Dorsett, Mayorov, Savard · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Burish, Daley, Grossmann

  41. P2 15:36Shot by Ryder, saved by Mason4v5
  42. P2 15:58Shot by Goligoski, saved by Mason4v5
  43. P2 17:56Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P2 18:29Shot by Mayorov, saved by Lehtonen
  45. P2 19:20Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:31Goal by Benn (Dvorak, Burish)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Johnson, Nash, Russell, Brassard · DAL Ott, Eriksson, Goligoski, Pardy, Benn

  49. P3 1:53Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen
  50. P3 1:55Shot by Umberger, saved by Lehtonen
  51. P3 2:00Shot by Savard, saved by Lehtonen
  52. P3 3:11Shot by Nystrom, saved by Mason
  53. P3 3:34Souray: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Prospal, Giroux, Martinek, Vermette, Clitsome · DAL Souray, Robidas, Fiddler, Burish, Dowell

  54. P3 3:56Shot by Vermette, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  55. P3 5:06Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  56. P3 5:06Goal by Brassard (Nash, Savard)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Nash, Brassard, Savard · DAL Robidas, Burish, Dowell, Pardy

  57. P3 5:20Shot by Eriksson, saved by Mason
  58. P3 5:37Shot by Grossmann, saved by Mason
  59. P3 6:09Shot by Prospal, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 6:27Goal by Ryder (Souray, Morrow)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Prospal, Giroux, Vermette, Tyutin, Savard · DAL Souray, Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Ryder

  61. P3 8:53Souray: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Vermette, Umberger, Tyutin, Nash, Savard · DAL Souray, Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Ryder

  62. P3 10:12Shot by Tyutin, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  63. P3 10:43Shot by Vermette, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  64. P3 10:53Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  65. P3 13:48Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Mason
  66. P3 13:56Shot by Umberger, saved by Lehtonen
  67. P3 13:58Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen
  68. P3 15:04Shot by Eriksson, saved by Mason
  69. P3 17:05Goal by Russell, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Prospal, Giroux, Vermette, Clitsome, Russell · DAL Fiddler, Burish, Daley, Grossmann, Wandell

  70. P3 17:53Shot by Tyutin, saved by Lehtonen
  71. P3 19:27Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  72. P3 19:32Shot by Vermette, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final