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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 27, 2011·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Winnipeg Jets 9, Philadelphia Flyers 8

Away

Winnipeg Jets

9

Final

Home

Philadelphia Flyers

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 91% of the time.

PHI winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:03Shot by Slater, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 3:25Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 3:52Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 4:10Goal by Hartnell (Jagr, Timonen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux · WPG Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov

  6. P1 4:43Shot by Glass, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 6:00Byfuglien: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Carle, Voracek, Read, Couturier · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, McArdle, Stapleton

  8. P1 6:49Shot by Giroux, saved by Pavelec5v4
  9. P1 6:51Shot by Simmonds, saved by Pavelec5v4
  10. P1 7:16Shot by Voracek, saved by Pavelec5v4
  11. P1 8:01Shot by Voracek, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 9:30Shot by Hartnell, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 9:34Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 10:01Goal by Jones (Wheeler, Glass)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hartnell, Carle, Giroux, Voracek, Gustafsson · WPG Oduya, Slater, Glass, Jones, Wheeler

  15. P1 10:37Shot by Couturier, saved by Pavelec
  16. P1 11:20Shot by Kane, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 11:32Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 12:48Shot by McArdle, saved by Bobrovsky
  19. P1 13:39Goal by Slater (Thorburn, Glass)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Lilja, Coburn, Giroux · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Glass

  20. P1 13:44Shot by Coburn, saved by Pavelec
  21. P1 14:15Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 16:14Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec
  23. P1 16:37Lilja: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lilja, Meszaros, Voracek, Read, Couturier · WPG Wellwood, Oduya, Jones, Ladd, Little

  24. P1 16:54Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  25. P1 17:45Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  26. P1 18:37Goal by Wellwood (Enstrom, Little)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Carle, Meszaros, Simmonds, Read · WPG Wellwood, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little

  27. P1 19:59Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:07Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Bobrovsky
  31. P2 2:09Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Bobrovsky
  32. P2 3:39Goal by Glass (Enstrom, Byfuglien)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Carle, Giroux, Voracek, Gustafsson, Read · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Glass

  33. P2 4:07Shot by Jagr, saved by Pavelec
  34. P2 4:36Timonen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Brière, Hartnell, Coburn · WPG Stuart, Byfuglien, Little, Kane, Burmistrov

  35. P2 4:39Goal by Antropov (Stapleton)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Talbot, Coburn, Meszaros, Couturier · WPG Antropov, Stapleton, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov

  36. P2 5:26Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 5:29Oduya: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Carle, Rinaldo, Gustafsson, Read, Couturier · WPG Thorburn, Oduya, Glass, Jones, Stapleton

  38. P2 6:05Shot by Carle, saved by Pavelec5v4
  39. P2 6:13Ladd: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Carle, Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Simmonds · WPG Stuart, Enstrom, Ladd, Little

  40. P2 6:24Shot by Timonen, saved by Pavelec5v3
  41. P2 6:25Goal by Giroux (Timonen, Brière)5v3+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Brière, Giroux, Simmonds · WPG Slater, Stuart, Enstrom

  42. P2 7:32Shot by Read, saved by Pavelec5v4
  43. P2 8:14Shot by Giroux, saved by Pavelec
  44. P2 8:47Shot by Enstrom, saved by Bryzgalov
  45. P2 9:09Shot by Hartnell, saved by Pavelec
  46. P2 10:00Coburn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Carle, Voracek, Read, Couturier · WPG Slater, Stuart, Ladd, Little, Bogosian

  47. P2 10:39Goal by Kane (Antropov, Burmistrov)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Talbot, Meszaros, Couturier · WPG Antropov, Stapleton, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov

  48. P2 12:08McArdle: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Brière, Coburn, Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Gustafsson · WPG Oduya, Wheeler, McArdle, Stapleton, Bogosian

  49. P2 13:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec5v4
  50. P2 14:11Goal by Brière (Hartnell, Timonen)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Hartnell, Voracek, Read · WPG Thorburn, Oduya, Slater, McArdle, Bogosian

  51. P2 14:33Kane: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Talbot, Coburn, Meszaros, Rinaldo, Couturier · WPG Antropov, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov

  52. P2 15:35Shot by Simmonds, saved by Pavelec5v4
  53. P2 15:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec5v4
  54. P2 16:27Shot by Oduya, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
  55. P2 16:38Shot by Read, saved by Pavelec
  56. P2 16:41Goal by Talbot, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Brière, Talbot, Coburn, Meszaros, Read · WPG Oduya, Wheeler, Stapleton, Bogosian, Kane

  57. P2 17:28Shot by Voracek, saved by Pavelec
  58. P2 17:58Shot by Jagr, saved by Pavelec
  59. P2 18:14Shot by Jagr, saved by Pavelec
  60. P2 18:17Shot by Jagr, saved by Pavelec
  61. P2 18:18Hartnell: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Meszaros, Giroux · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Glass, Bogosian

  62. P2 18:18Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Meszaros, Giroux · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Glass, Bogosian

  63. P2 18:33Shot by Little, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  64. P2 19:51Shot by Meszaros, saved by Pavelec4v4
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:55Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bryzgalov
  68. P3 1:05Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  69. P3 1:09Goal by Brière (Coburn, van Riemsdyk)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Coburn, van Riemsdyk, Simmonds · WPG Antropov, Stuart, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov

  70. P3 2:21Shot by Lilja, saved by Pavelec
  71. P3 2:23Goal by Read (Lilja, Voracek)+30 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lilja, Meszaros, Voracek, Read, Couturier · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Glass, Bogosian

  72. P3 3:02Goal by van Riemsdyk (Brière, Carle)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Brière, Carle, van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Gustafsson · WPG Wellwood, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Little

  73. P3 3:30Goal by Burmistrov (Antropov, Kane)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Shelley, Talbot, Coburn, Rinaldo · WPG Antropov, Oduya, Jones, Kane, Burmistrov

  74. P3 3:51Shot by Hartnell, saved by Mason
  75. P3 4:31Goal by Stuart (Stapleton, Wheeler)+31 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Brière, Carle, van Riemsdyk, Gustafsson · WPG Stuart, Wheeler, McArdle, Stapleton, Bogosian

  76. P3 4:56Shot by Simmonds, saved by Mason
  77. P3 5:33Voracek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Carle, Voracek, Read, Couturier · WPG Wellwood, Oduya, Jones, Ladd, Little

  78. P3 6:20Shot by Timonen, saved by Mason4v5
  79. P3 7:41Shot by Voracek, saved by Mason
  80. P3 8:37Gustafsson: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Brière, Lilja, van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Gustafsson · WPG Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Bogosian, Burmistrov

  81. P3 11:03Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Bryzgalov
  82. P3 11:39Shot by Brière, saved by Pavelec
  83. P3 13:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  84. P3 14:14Shot by Ladd, saved by Bryzgalov
  85. P3 16:13Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  86. P3 16:21Goal by van Riemsdyk (Timonen, Meszaros)+43 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Voracek · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  87. P3 17:03Shot by Hartnell, saved by Pavelec
  88. P3 17:52Shot by Carle, saved by Pavelec
  89. P3 18:54Goal by Ladd (Wheeler, Little)+50 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Brière, Coburn, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Voracek · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  90. P3 19:19Shot by Carle, saved by Pavelec6v5
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final