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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 29, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 5, New York Rangers 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Michalek, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:32Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:17Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:53Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 3:57Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 4:05Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 5:26Boyle: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Wolski, Prust, Erixon · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Greening, Cowen, Da Costa

  9. P1 6:10Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson4v5
  10. P1 9:35Alfredsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Christensen, Wolski, Sauer, Del Zotto · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Foligno, Rundblad, Da Costa

  11. P1 11:09Shot by Michalek, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  12. P1 11:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  13. P1 11:26Shot by Erixon, saved by Anderson5v4
  14. P1 11:40Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 11:49Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 12:03Shot by Da Costa, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 12:58Shot by Rundblad, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 13:01Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 13:12Goal by Neil (Kuba, Karlsson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Eminger, Dubinsky, Callahan, Erixon · OTT Kuba, Neil, Daugavins, Smith, Karlsson

  20. P1 13:37Shot by Christensen, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 15:03Shot by Erixon, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 15:16Shot by Winchester, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 18:00Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 18:38Shot by Cowen, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 19:25Shot by Neil, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:22Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 0:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 0:42Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 1:18Shot by Neil, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 2:10Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 2:16Shot by Daugavins, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 4:05Konopka: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan · OTT Phillips, Konopka, Condra, Winchester, Rundblad

  35. P2 4:05Konopka: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan · OTT Phillips, Konopka, Condra, Winchester, Rundblad

  36. P2 5:24Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  37. P2 6:24Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson5v4
  38. P2 6:24Goal by Callahan (Richards, Del Zotto)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto · OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Condra, Cowen

  39. P2 7:44Goal by Richards (Gaborik)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Michalek, Karlsson

  40. P2 7:58Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson5v4
  41. P2 8:10Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson5v4
  42. P2 9:16Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 9:38Shot by Daugavins, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 12:13Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 12:20Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 13:24Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 13:34Shot by Daugavins, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 17:31Eminger: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Eminger, Wolski, Stepan, Erixon · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Daugavins, Karlsson

  49. P2 18:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  50. P2 19:27Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson4v5
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 2:04Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 3:05Shot by Newbury, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 4:17Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 4:53Goal by Gaborik (Stepan, Wolski)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Eminger, Wolski, Sauer, Stepan · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Daugavins, Smith, Cowen

  58. P3 5:12Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 5:15Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 5:22Sauer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Eminger, Boyle, Prust, Sauer · OTT Phillips, Greening, Condra, Winchester, Rundblad

  61. P3 7:00Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  62. P3 8:05Goal by Richards (Gaborik, Wolski)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Wolski, Sauer, Del Zotto · OTT Kuba, Foligno, Condra, Karlsson, Da Costa

  63. P3 9:15Shot by Michalek, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 9:18Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Kuba)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  65. P3 10:14Shot by Cowen, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 11:04Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 11:19Shot by Kuba, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 11:48Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 12:09Wolski: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Wolski, Sauer, Del Zotto, Stepan · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Foligno, Rundblad, Da Costa

  70. P3 12:14Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  71. P3 12:49Goal by Spezza (Gonchar, Karlsson)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  72. P3 14:14Shot by Rundblad, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 14:22Shot by Da Costa, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 16:19Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 17:07Shot by Michalek, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 17:10Goal by Michalek (Greening, Kuba)+38 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Fedotenko, Eminger, Prust, Girardi · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  77. P3 17:55Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 1:31Shot by Sauer, saved by Anderson4v4
  81. OT 3:24Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Anderson4v4
  82. OT 4:26Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson4v4
  83. OT 5:00Period end
  84. SO Period start
  85. SO Shot by Christensen, saved by Andersonother
  86. SO Goal by Michalek, unassistedother
  87. SO Period end
  88. SO Final