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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 29, 2011·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Philadelphia Flyers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 66% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bryzgalov
  3. P1 2:26Shot by Couturier, saved by Boucher
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bryzgalov
  5. P1 4:08Shot by Meszaros, saved by Boucher
  6. P1 4:35Hartnell: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux · CAR Allen, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty

  7. P1 5:25Shot by Staal, saved by Bryzgalov4v5
  8. P1 6:00Shot by Talbot, saved by Boucher4v5
  9. P1 6:57Goal by Hartnell (Giroux)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Tlusty, Sutter

  10. P1 7:16Shot by Staal, saved by Bryzgalov
  11. P1 8:57Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bryzgalov
  12. P1 9:36Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bryzgalov
  13. P1 9:59Shot by Stewart, saved by Bryzgalov
  14. P1 10:55Shot by Giroux, saved by Boucher
  15. P1 13:22Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bryzgalov
  16. P1 13:56Shot by Timonen, saved by Boucher
  17. P1 14:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Boucher
  18. P1 14:14Pitkanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Carle, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Read · CAR Ponikarovsky, Pitkanen, Dwyer, McBain, Sutter

  19. P1 14:13Shot by Voracek, saved by Boucher
  20. P1 17:42Shot by Jagr, saved by Boucher
  21. P1 18:35Shot by Brent, saved by Bryzgalov
  22. P1 19:03Shot by Read, saved by Boucher
  23. P1 19:41Shot by Ruutu, saved by Bryzgalov
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:08Shot by Hartnell, saved by Boucher
  27. P2 0:35Shot by Hartnell, saved by Boucher
  28. P2 1:18Shot by Carle, saved by Boucher
  29. P2 3:08Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bryzgalov
  30. P2 3:11Goal by Jokinen (Tlusty, LaRose)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux · CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Tlusty

  31. P2 3:20Shot by Simmonds, saved by Boucher
  32. P2 4:11Shot by Voracek, saved by Boucher
  33. P2 5:42Shot by Simmonds, saved by Boucher
  34. P2 7:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov
  35. P2 8:08Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Bryzgalov
  36. P2 8:35Gleason: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Shelley, Lilja, Carle, Giroux · CAR Allen, Gleason, Brent, Stewart, Boychuk

  37. P2 9:22Shot by Simmonds, saved by Boucher5v4
  38. P2 11:29Shot by Harrison, saved by Bryzgalov
  39. P2 13:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Boucher
  40. P2 13:51Shot by Hartnell, saved by Boucher
  41. P2 14:19Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bryzgalov
  42. P2 16:21Meszaros: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Coburn, Meszaros, Giroux, van Riemsdyk · CAR Kaberle, Harrison, LaRose, Staal, Skinner

  43. P2 16:51Shot by Staal, saved by Bryzgalov4v5
  44. P2 17:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov4v5
  45. P2 18:38Shot by Read, saved by Boucher
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:39Goal by Jagr (Giroux)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Coburn, Carle, Giroux · CAR Allen, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty

  49. P3 1:42Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Bryzgalov
  50. P3 3:04Shot by Voracek, saved by Boucher
  51. P3 3:59Shot by Brent, saved by Bryzgalov
  52. P3 4:02Shot by Allen, saved by Bryzgalov
  53. P3 5:12Jagr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Carle, Giroux, Gustafsson · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Skinner

  54. P3 5:45Shot by Giroux, saved by Boucher4v5
  55. P3 5:46Goal by Talbot (Giroux, Coburn)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Talbot, Coburn, Giroux · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  56. P3 6:31Shot by Harrison, saved by Bryzgalov4v5
  57. P3 7:36Goal by Giroux (Hartnell, Timonen)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  58. P3 8:49Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Boucher
  59. P3 12:09Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Boucher
  60. P3 12:17Goal by Jagr (Hartnell)0 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux · CAR LaRose, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain

  61. P3 12:36Shot by LaRose, saved by Bryzgalov
  62. P3 13:45Shot by Couturier, saved by Boucher
  63. P3 13:58Brent: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Shelley, Lilja, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Rinaldo, Couturier · CAR Kaberle, Harrison, Brent, Stewart, Boychuk

  64. P3 14:42Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
  65. P3 15:23Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Boucher5v4
  66. P3 16:21Shot by Shelley, saved by Boucher
  67. P3 16:49Shot by Staal, saved by Bryzgalov
  68. P3 17:05Shot by Meszaros, saved by Boucher
  69. P3 17:28Allen: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Talbot, Carle, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Gustafsson, Read · CAR Allen, Gleason, Brent, Stewart, Boychuk

  70. P3 18:17Dwyer: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Jagr, Timonen, Meszaros, Giroux, Nodl · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, McBain, Sutter

  71. P3 18:44Shot by Jagr, saved by Boucher5v3
  72. P3 18:45Shot by Talbot, saved by Boucher5v3
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final