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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 5, 2011·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Nashville Predators 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 70% of the time.

SJS winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:34Shot by Bouillon, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 0:41Shot by Suter, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 1:15Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 3:22Shot by Murray, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 3:29Shot by White, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 5:40Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 6:01Shot by Boyle, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 6:25Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 6:32Shot by White, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 6:47Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 7:40Shot by Boyle, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 8:04Shot by Braun, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 9:13Shot by Vlasic, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 12:06Shot by Bergfors, saved by Niemi
  17. P1 12:17Shot by Winchester, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 12:36Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 13:17Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 13:22Fisher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski, Couture · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Blum, Smith

  21. P1 14:15Shot by Marleau, saved by Rinne5v4
  22. P1 14:14Shot by Marleau, saved by Rinne5v4
  23. P1 14:40Shot by Boyle, saved by Rinne5v4
  24. P1 16:16Shot by Halischuk, saved by Niemi
  25. P1 16:56Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne
  26. P1 17:02Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne
  27. P1 19:18Shot by Legwand, saved by Niemi
  28. P1 19:50Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:10Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi
  32. P2 0:19Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  33. P2 0:58Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  34. P2 1:02Goal by Legwand (Hornqvist, Wilson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Mitchell, Vlasic, Couture · NSH Legwand, Suter, Hornqvist, Blum, Wilson

  35. P2 1:43Shot by Hillen, saved by Niemi
  36. P2 1:48Shot by Smithson, saved by Niemi
  37. P2 2:24Shot by Havlat, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 2:33Shot by Tootoo, saved by Niemi
  39. P2 3:31Shot by McGrattan, saved by Niemi
  40. P2 4:40Goal by Pavelski (Couture, Thornton)+21 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski, Couture · NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Erat, Blum, Smith

  41. P2 5:05Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 6:02McGinn: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Boyle, Murray, Winchester, Murray · NSH Legwand, Erat, Laakso, Hornqvist, Hillen, Wilson

  43. P2 6:37Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi4v5
  44. P2 9:01Laakso: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Clowe, Burns, Mitchell, Vlasic · NSH Fisher, Erat, Tootoo, Laakso, Blum

  45. P2 9:39Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne5v4
  46. P2 9:47Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne5v4
  47. P2 9:49Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne5v4
  48. P2 9:48Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne5v4
  49. P2 9:50Goal by Havlat (Couture, Clowe)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Havlat, Clowe, Braun, Couture · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Blum

  50. P2 10:09Weber: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Handzus, White, Havlat, McGinn, Braun · NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Tootoo, Weber, Halischuk

  51. P2 11:39Shot by Braun, saved by Rinne5v4
  52. P2 12:14Shot by Thornton, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 13:55Shot by Halischuk, saved by Niemi
  54. P2 16:20Shot by Tootoo, saved by Niemi
  55. P2 17:40Shot by Burns, saved by Rinne
  56. P2 17:40Thornton: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture · NSH Fisher, Laakso, Halischuk, Hillen, Smith

  57. P2 18:48Shot by Legwand, saved by Niemi4v5
  58. P2 19:05Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:52Goal by Couture (Pavelski, Thornton)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski, Couture · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Blum, Smith

  62. P3 1:02Shot by Murray, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 1:23Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 2:22Shot by Halischuk, saved by Niemi
  65. P3 2:24Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Niemi
  66. P3 2:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  67. P3 2:57Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi
  68. P3 2:57Goal by Hornqvist (Weber, Bouillon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Boyle, Havlat, Murray, Clowe · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson

  69. P3 3:29Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 4:56Shot by Erat, saved by Niemi
  71. P3 4:57Marleau: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Havlat, Clowe, Burns, Vlasic · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Weber, Hornqvist

  72. P3 5:58Goal by Suter (Erat, Weber)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Smith

  73. P3 8:11Shot by Fisher, saved by Niemi
  74. P3 9:35Shot by Hillen, saved by Niemi
  75. P3 10:52Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi
  76. P3 13:03Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi
  77. P3 14:34Shot by Havlat, saved by Rinne
  78. P3 16:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  79. P3 18:56Blum: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Marleau, Havlat, Burns, Mitchell, Vlasic · NSH Legwand, Suter, Hornqvist, Geoffrion, Blum

  80. P3 19:31Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne5v4
  81. P3 19:41Shot by Legwand, saved by Niemi5v4
  82. P3 19:56Shot by Boyle, saved by Rinne5v4
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. OT 0:00Period start
  85. OT 0:23Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi4v3
  86. OT 0:52Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne4v3
  87. OT 2:53Goal by Legwand (Bouillon)4v4+52 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Burns, Pavelski · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Suter, Wilson

  88. OT 2:53Period end
  89. OT 2:53Final