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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 12, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Montréal Canadiens 2, Nashville Predators 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.

NSH winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Erat, saved by Budaj
  3. P1 1:19Shot by Smith, saved by Budaj
  4. P1 4:50Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 5:09Smithson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Halischuk · MTL Spacek, Cammalleri, Palushaj, Weber, Eller

  6. P1 5:23Shot by Weber, saved by Rinne4v5
  7. P1 6:34Shot by Subban, saved by Rinne4v5
  8. P1 10:27Shot by Weber, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 11:48Shot by Diaz, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 12:01Shot by Plekanec, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 13:49Goal by Desharnais (Cole, Gorges)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Klein, Hornqvist, Wilson, Smith · MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty

  12. P1 14:11Shot by Subban, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 14:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj
  14. P1 16:18Plekanec: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Erat, Klein, Bergfors, Spaling · MTL Gill, Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Diaz

  15. P1 16:50Shot by Suter, saved by Budaj5v4
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:58Shot by Gill, saved by Rinne
  19. P2 1:29Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Rinne
  20. P2 2:00Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Rinne5v6
  21. P2 2:01Halischuk: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Halischuk, Blum, Hillen · MTL Gomez, Spacek, Cammalleri, Palushaj, Weber, Eller

  22. P2 3:14Shot by Erat, saved by Budaj4v5
  23. P2 3:20Goal by Weber (Suter, Spaling)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber, Spaling · MTL Gomez, Gionta, Cammalleri, Subban, Diaz

  24. P2 4:20Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj
  25. P2 5:03Shot by Darche, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 5:32Diaz: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Erat, Klein, Kostitsyn · MTL Gill, Gomez, Darche, Nokelainen, Diaz

  27. P2 6:45Spacek: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · MTL Gionta, Spacek, Nokelainen, Subban

  28. P2 9:07Shot by Klein, saved by Budaj
  29. P2 10:12Shot by Hillen, saved by Budaj
  30. P2 10:54Smithson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Halischuk · MTL Gomez, Gionta, Nokelainen, Subban, Diaz

  31. P2 11:37Shot by Geoffrion, saved by Budaj4v5
  32. P2 11:46Shot by Erat, saved by Budaj4v5
  33. P2 12:24Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Rinne4v5
  34. P2 12:33Subban: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Weber, Halischuk · MTL Gomez, Gionta, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Subban

  35. P2 13:09Shot by Suter, saved by Budaj5v4
  36. P2 13:12Shot by Smith, saved by Budaj5v4
  37. P2 13:40Shot by Weber, saved by Budaj5v4
  38. P2 14:12Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Budaj5v4
  39. P2 15:01Shot by Spaling, saved by Budaj
  40. P2 16:10Shot by Gionta, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 17:55Shot by Darche, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 18:33Shot by Smith, saved by Budaj
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P2 0:00Tootoo: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Halischuk · MTL Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges, Subban

  45. P2 0:00Moen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Halischuk · MTL Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges, Subban

  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:18Shot by Klein, saved by Budaj4v4
  48. P3 3:09Shot by Weber, saved by Budaj
  49. P3 4:39Shot by Smith, saved by Budaj
  50. P3 5:14Shot by Gill, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 5:48Shot by Spacek, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 6:31Shot by Gionta, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 7:38Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 8:18Shot by Eller, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 8:38Shot by Wilson, saved by Budaj
  56. P3 8:47Shot by Darche, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 10:27Shot by Plekanec, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 11:18Shot by Smith, saved by Budaj
  59. P3 12:47Shot by Gionta, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 13:37Shot by Fisher, saved by Budaj
  61. P3 15:09Shot by Geoffrion, saved by Budaj
  62. P3 18:13Shot by Fisher, saved by Budaj
  63. P3 19:43Shot by Cole, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 1:01Shot by Smith, saved by Budaj4v4
  67. OT 2:31Goal by Pacioretty (Subban, Desharnais)4v4+52 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Erat, Klein · MTL Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty

  68. OT 2:31Period end
  69. OT 2:31Final