Sat, Nov 12, 2011·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Phoenix Coyotes 3, San Jose Sharks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 211 | 05 | 17 | 323 |
| SJS | 07 | 011 | 013 | 031 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:21PHXRadim VrbataGWGAssists: Ray Whitney, Martin Hanzal · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–0
- P1 19:28PHXBoyd GordonAssists: Raffi Torres, Lauri Korpikoski · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–0
- P3 12:55PHXPatrick O'SullivanAssists: Kyle Chipchura, Adrian Aucoin · Tip-in, 0.39 xG3–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:58SJSDouglas Murray: Holding2 min
- P1 10:07PHXAdrian Aucoin: Interference2 min
- P1 16:39SJSLogan Couture: Interference2 min
- P2 10:24PHXKeith Yandle: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:48SJSPatrick Marleau: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 1:57PHXKyle Chipchura: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:17PHXRadim Vrbata: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gordon won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestTorres – O'Sullivan – Chipchura6:44
xG 0.54–0.12 (82%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal11:02
xG 0.56–0.36 (61%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Torres – Gordon – Korpikoski2:51
xG 0.10–0.01 (93%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Doan – O'Reilly – Boedker7:47
xG 0.07–0.03 (69%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Ekman-Larsson12:08
xG 0.68–0.15 (82%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Morris – Yandle14:32
xG 0.60–0.57 (51%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- Klesla – Schlemko14:33
xG 0.30–1.20 (20%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHandzus – Mitchell – McGinn9:22
xG 0.58–0.05 (91%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Thornton – Havlat – Clowe8:45
xG 0.68–0.16 (81%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Couture4:04
xG 0.22–0.15 (59%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
- Winchester – Murray – Desjardins6:31
xG 0.03–0.04 (44%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Vlasic5:44
xG 0.39–0.14 (73%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- White – Burns5:55
xG 0.28–0.10 (75%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- White – Vlasic3:02
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).