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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 19, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Phoenix Coyotes 4, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.

BUF winsPHX wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Boyes, saved by Smith
  3. P1 0:57Shot by Pyatt, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 1:17Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith
  5. P1 2:52Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith
  6. P1 3:03Shot by Gordon, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 3:27Shot by Boyes, saved by Smith
  8. P1 4:16Shot by Vrbata, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 4:48Shot by Vanek, saved by Smith
  10. P1 7:09Goal by Doan (Yandle, Morris)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Leino · PHX Whitney, Doan, Morris, Gordon, Yandle

  11. P1 7:14Shot by Pyatt, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 10:33Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  13. P1 11:07Shot by Myers, saved by Smith
  14. P1 11:22Shot by Pyatt, saved by Enroth
  15. P1 11:26Shot by Klesla, saved by Enroth
  16. P1 11:50Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith
  17. P1 11:57Goal by Adam (Leopold, Gerbe)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Tropp, Adam · PHX Aucoin, Gordon, Korpikoski, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson

  18. P1 13:22Shot by Vanek, saved by Smith
  19. P1 13:45Shot by Vanek, saved by Smith
  20. P1 14:18Shot by Tropp, saved by Smith
  21. P1 16:19Shot by Leopold, saved by Smith
  22. P1 16:25Shot by Adam, saved by Smith
  23. P1 17:30Shot by Morris, saved by Enroth
  24. P1 18:04Shot by Kaleta, saved by Smith
  25. P1 19:14Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:30Shot by Kaleta, saved by Smith
  29. P2 0:48Shot by Gaustad, saved by Smith
  30. P2 0:51Goal by Kaleta (Gaustad, Leopold)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Kaleta · PHX Whitney, Doan, Klesla, Gordon, Schlemko

  31. P2 2:34Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  32. P2 2:51Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  33. P2 3:08Shot by Leopold, saved by Smith
  34. P2 3:37Shot by Aucoin, saved by Enroth
  35. P2 5:09Shot by Pyatt, saved by Enroth
  36. P2 5:59Shot by Pominville, saved by Smith
  37. P2 6:16Shot by Vanek, saved by Smith
  38. P2 6:18Shot by Vanek, saved by Smith
  39. P2 6:44Shot by Aucoin, saved by Enroth
  40. P2 7:32Shot by Gordon, saved by Enroth
  41. P2 7:50Shot by Vrbata, saved by Enroth
  42. P2 8:15Shot by Tropp, saved by Smith
  43. P2 8:25Shot by Leopold, saved by Smith
  44. P2 8:35Goal by Vrbata (Klesla, Schlemko)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek · PHX Pyatt, Vrbata, Klesla, Hanzal, Schlemko

  45. P2 8:53Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  46. P2 9:41Goal by Bissonnette (Chipchura, Aucoin)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Stafford, Sekera, Leino, Myers · PHX Aucoin, Torres, Bissonnette, Chipchura, Ekman-Larsson

  47. P2 11:37Shot by Aucoin, saved by Enroth
  48. P2 11:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Enroth
  49. P2 12:57Shot by Pominville, saved by Smith
  50. P2 14:11Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Enroth
  51. P2 14:26Shot by Aucoin, saved by Enroth
  52. P2 14:35Shot by Boedker, saved by Enroth
  53. P2 15:10Shot by Yandle, saved by Enroth
  54. P2 15:16Shot by Gerbe, saved by Smith
  55. P2 15:42Shot by Pyatt, saved by Enroth
  56. P2 16:14Shot by Doan, saved by Enroth
  57. P2 17:55Kaleta: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Kaleta · PHX Morris, Korpikoski, Yandle, O'Reilly, Boedker

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:33Shot by Klesla, saved by Enroth
  61. P3 0:44Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith
  62. P3 1:04Shot by Pominville, saved by Smith
  63. P3 2:06Torres: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Gragnani · PHX Morris, Torres, Bissonnette, Chipchura, Yandle

  64. P3 2:06Regehr: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Gragnani · PHX Morris, Torres, Bissonnette, Chipchura, Yandle

  65. P3 2:06Torres: Charging (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Gragnani · PHX Morris, Torres, Bissonnette, Chipchura, Yandle

  66. P3 2:50Shot by Gragnani, saved by Smith5v4
  67. P3 3:09Shot by Hanzal, saved by Enroth5v4
  68. P3 3:59Shot by Sekera, saved by Smith5v4
  69. P3 4:50Shot by Gerbe, saved by Smith
  70. P3 6:55Shot by Gaustad, saved by Smith
  71. P3 7:25Shot by Boedker, saved by Enroth
  72. P3 7:57Sekera: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Sekera, Leino · PHX Whitney, Doan, Morris, Gordon, Yandle

  73. P3 9:01Shot by Vrbata, saved by Enroth4v5
  74. P3 11:03Shot by Hanzal, saved by Enroth
  75. P3 12:19Shot by Tropp, saved by Smith
  76. P3 13:27Shot by Roy, saved by Smith
  77. P3 14:33Shot by Boyes, saved by Smith
  78. P3 14:34Shot by Boyes, saved by Smith
  79. P3 15:18Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  80. P3 17:16Shot by Gaustad, saved by Smith
  81. P3 18:49Goal by Vrbata (Yandle, Morris)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Stafford, Sekera, Gragnani · PHX Morris, Vrbata, Korpikoski, Hanzal, Yandle

  82. P3 19:18Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith6v5
  83. P3 19:28Shot by Boyes, saved by Smith6v5
  84. P3 19:59Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith6v5
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final