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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 20, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Ottawa Senators 1, Vancouver Canucks 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.

VAN winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Spezza, saved by Schneider
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Smith, saved by Schneider
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Butler, saved by Schneider
  5. P1 2:31Greening: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows, Kesler · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  6. P1 3:39Shot by Kesler, saved by Auld5v4
  7. P1 4:04Shot by Salo, saved by Auld5v4
  8. P1 5:09Da Costa: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows, Lapierre, Hansen · OTT Alfredsson, Lee, Foligno, Karlsson, Da Costa

  9. P1 7:09Shot by Sedin, saved by Auld
  10. P1 8:00Shot by Greening, saved by Schneider
  11. P1 6:19Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Auld5v4
  12. P1 10:24Shot by Michalek, saved by Schneider
  13. P1 10:39Shot by Burrows, saved by Auld
  14. P1 12:31Shot by Phillips, saved by Schneider
  15. P1 14:18Alberts: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Alberts, Rome, Lapierre, Booth · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith

  16. P1 14:33Shot by Bieksa, saved by Auld4v5
  17. P1 14:41Shot by Greening, saved by Schneider4v5
  18. P1 15:30Shot by Greening, saved by Schneider4v5
  19. P1 17:33Shot by Malhotra, saved by Auld
  20. P1 17:36Shot by Edler, saved by Auld
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:32Shot by Higgins, saved by Auld
  24. P2 0:44Gonchar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Salo, Sedin, Sedin, Edler, Hansen · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith

  25. P2 2:31Goal by Sedin (Sedin, Kesler)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Salo, Sedin, Sedin, Kesler, Edler · OTT Phillips, Lee, Daugavins, Winchester

  26. P2 3:11Shot by Edler, saved by Auld
  27. P2 5:03Shot by Winchester, saved by Schneider
  28. P2 6:04Shot by Spezza, saved by Schneider
  29. P2 7:07Shot by Da Costa, saved by Schneider
  30. P2 7:19Shot by Butler, saved by Schneider
  31. P2 8:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Schneider
  32. P2 8:40Alberts: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Alberts, Rome, Hansen · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith

  33. P2 9:35Shot by Kesler, saved by Auld4v5
  34. P2 11:07Shot by Rome, saved by Auld
  35. P2 11:55Shot by Condra, saved by Schneider
  36. P2 13:06Shot by Kuba, saved by Schneider
  37. P2 13:20Shot by Michalek, saved by Schneider
  38. P2 14:56Bieksa: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows, Kesler, Booth · OTT Alfredsson, Lee, Foligno, Winchester, Cowen

  39. P2 16:49Shot by Higgins, saved by Auld4v5
  40. P2 18:28Volpatti: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Bieksa, Edler, Weise, Volpatti · OTT Konopka, Lee, Winchester, Cowen, Da Costa

  41. P2 18:46Gonchar: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VAN Malhotra, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Hansen · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:24Shot by Spezza, saved by Schneider4v4
  45. P3 1:53Shot by Hodgson, saved by Auld
  46. P3 2:05Shot by Salo, saved by Auld
  47. P3 2:07Shot by Hodgson, saved by Auld
  48. P3 2:36Shot by Lapierre, saved by Auld
  49. P3 3:32Shot by Gonchar, saved by Schneider
  50. P3 3:32Goal by Greening (Spezza, Gonchar)+27 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Alberts, Higgins, Rome, Burrows, Kesler · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Lee, Greening, Butler

  51. P3 4:10Shot by Michalek, saved by Schneider
  52. P3 4:56Shot by Spezza, saved by Schneider
  53. P3 6:36Shot by Sedin, saved by Auld
  54. P3 6:59Shot by Daugavins, saved by Schneider
  55. P3 8:46Bieksa: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Foligno, Karlsson

  56. P3 9:06Shot by Smith, saved by Schneider4v5
  57. P3 10:01Shot by Michalek, saved by Schneider4v5
  58. P3 10:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Schneider4v5
  59. P3 11:44Shot by Bieksa, saved by Auld
  60. P3 11:50Shot by Higgins, saved by Auld
  61. P3 12:46Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Schneider
  62. P3 12:56Shot by Hodgson, saved by Auld
  63. P3 14:54Shot by Bieksa, saved by Auld
  64. P3 15:15Shot by Bieksa, saved by Auld
  65. P3 18:59Shot by Condra, saved by Schneider
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. OT 0:00Period start
  68. OT 0:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Schneider4v4
  69. OT 1:22Shot by Condra, saved by Schneider4v4
  70. OT 1:34Shot by Bieksa, saved by Auld4v4
  71. OT 1:41Shot by Bieksa, saved by Auld4v4
  72. OT 2:18Goal by Higgins (Hamhuis, Salo)4v4+48 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Salo, Hamhuis, Higgins, Hodgson · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Karlsson, Da Costa

  73. OT 2:18Period end
  74. OT 2:18Final