Tue, Nov 22, 2011·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Los Angeles Kings 3, St. Louis Blues 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 08 | 111 | 29 | 328 |
| STL | 17 | 014 | 14 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:07STLAlexander SteenAssists: T.J. Oshie · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 7:36LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Mike Richards · Snap, 0.18 xG1–1
- P3 4:41LAKMike RichardsAssists: Andrei Loktionov · Snap, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 12:28STLVladimir SobotkaPPAssists: Matt D'Agostini, Kris Russell · Snap, 0.16 xG2–2
- P3 14:11LAKWillie MitchellGWGAssists: Simon Gagne, Justin Williams · Slap, 0.02 xG3–2
Penalties (14)
- P1 1:50STLJason Arnott: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:37LAKEthan Moreau: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:18STLScott Nichol: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:18LAKColin Fraser: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:04LAKKyle Clifford: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:00LAKTrent Hunter: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:41STLRyan Reaves: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 10:24STLAlex Pietrangelo: Interference2 min
- P2 16:59STLChris Porter: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:01LAKKyle Clifford: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:00STLAlex Pietrangelo: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:11STLVladimir Sobotka: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:23LAKSimon Gagne: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:58LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richards won the faceoff against Berglund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestHunter – Stoll – Clifford8:13
xG 0.42–0.06 (87%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Richards – Loktionov7:24
xG 0.29–0.15 (65%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Moreau – Fraser – Westgarth5:46
xG 0.14–0.11 (57%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Gagne – Williams – Kopitar6:28
xG 0.00–0.59 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Voynov9:55
xG 0.38–0.06 (87%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Greene2:47
xG 0.01–0.02 (47%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Johnson11:23
xG 0.27–0.36 (43%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSobotka – D'Agostini – Berglund8:34
xG 0.28–0.07 (80%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Steen – Backes – Oshie7:22
xG 0.43–0.32 (58%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Nichol – Reaves – Grachev3:29
xG 0.15–0.05 (74%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Arnott – Langenbrunner – Porter6:50
xG 0.02–0.20 (7%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Pietrangelo7:22
xG 0.52–0.07 (87%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Polak – Russell10:25
xG 0.18–0.22 (44%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Cole – Shattenkirk2:23
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).