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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 28, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver

Dallas Stars 3, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.

COL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:13Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Kobasew, saved by Raycroft
  4. P1 2:26Shot by Jones, saved by Raycroft
  5. P1 2:49Barch: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Jones, McLeod, Wilson, Galiardi, Elliott · DAL Souray, Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Wandell

  6. P1 2:49McLeod: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Jones, McLeod, Wilson, Galiardi, Elliott · DAL Souray, Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Wandell

  7. P1 2:49McLeod: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Jones, McLeod, Wilson, Galiardi, Elliott · DAL Souray, Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Wandell

  8. P1 2:49McLeod: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Jones, McLeod, Wilson, Galiardi, Elliott · DAL Souray, Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Wandell

  9. P1 3:49Shot by Winnik, saved by Raycroft4v5
  10. P1 3:49Souray: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL McClement, Quincey, O'Brien, Winnik · DAL Souray, Robidas, Eriksson, Benn, Vincour

  11. P1 4:50Shot by Dvorak, saved by Varlamov5v4
  12. P1 5:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Raycroft5v4
  13. P1 6:53Shot by Souray, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 7:15Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 7:50Shot by Wilson, saved by Raycroft
  16. P1 8:37Shot by Fistric, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 11:30Wandell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Quincey, O'Brien, Winnik, O'Reilly, Landeskog · DAL Souray, Robidas, Barch, Petersen, Wandell

  18. P1 11:35Shot by Quincey, saved by Raycroft5v4
  19. P1 11:49Shot by Quincey, saved by Raycroft5v4
  20. P1 13:23Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov5v4
  21. P1 13:32Shot by Porter, saved by Raycroft
  22. P1 13:49O'Byrne: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kobasew, McClement, O'Byrne, Hejda, Porter · DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Grossmann, Pardy, Benn

  23. P1 14:06Shot by Winnik, saved by Raycroft4v5
  24. P1 15:24Shot by Winnik, saved by Raycroft4v5
  25. P1 15:55Shot by Fiddler, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 15:56Goal by Nystrom (Fiddler, Robidas)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Stastny, Wilson, Duchene, Elliott · DAL Souray, Dvorak, Robidas, Fiddler, Nystrom

  27. P1 16:43Shot by Winnik, saved by Raycroft
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:13Shot by Vincour, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 0:35Shot by Landeskog, saved by Raycroft
  32. P2 0:37Shot by O'Brien, saved by Raycroft
  33. P2 1:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Raycroft
  34. P2 1:14Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Raycroft
  35. P2 1:51Shot by Quincey, saved by Raycroft
  36. P2 2:17Shot by Porter, saved by Raycroft
  37. P2 3:45Ryder: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Hejda, Jones, McLeod, Galiardi · DAL Souray, Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Benn

  38. P2 5:33Wilson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL O'Brien, Jones, Stastny, Wilson, Duchene · DAL Souray, Dvorak, Robidas, Fiddler

  39. P2 8:03Shot by Nystrom, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 8:17Shot by Vincour, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 8:42Shot by Ryder, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 8:55Shot by Quincey, saved by Raycroft
  43. P2 9:05Shot by Larsen, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 10:30Shot by Grossmann, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 10:43Shot by Hejduk, saved by Raycroft
  46. P2 10:48Shot by Wilson, saved by Raycroft
  47. P2 11:11Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Raycroft
  48. P2 11:26Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Raycroft
  49. P2 11:28Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Raycroft
  50. P2 11:48Shot by Ott, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 11:52Shot by Souray, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 12:23Shot by Porter, saved by Raycroft
  53. P2 12:58Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 13:31Shot by Larsen, saved by Varlamov
  55. P2 16:11Shot by Stastny, saved by Raycroft
  56. P2 17:02Shot by Petersen, saved by Varlamov
  57. P2 17:55Shot by Robidas, saved by Varlamov
  58. P2 18:44Shot by Stastny, saved by Raycroft
  59. P2 18:58Shot by McClement, saved by Raycroft
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:15Shot by Vincour, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 1:48Shot by Fiddler, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 2:13Shot by Wandell, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 3:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Raycroft
  66. P3 4:21Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Raycroft
  67. P3 5:04Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 5:33Shot by Ryder, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 5:45Shot by Souray, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 5:50Shot by Souray, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 7:24Shot by Ryder, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 7:40Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 8:04Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Raycroft
  74. P3 8:10O'Reilly: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Winnik, Wilson, O'Reilly, Elliott, Landeskog · DAL Ribeiro, Ott, Fistric, Larsen, Vincour

  75. P3 8:16Shot by Larsen, saved by Varlamov4v5
  76. P3 9:02Shot by McClement, saved by Raycroft4v5
  77. P3 10:28Shot by Wilson, saved by Raycroft
  78. P3 11:07Shot by Dvorak, saved by Varlamov
  79. P3 12:38Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  80. P3 14:36Goal by Ryder (Eriksson, Larsen)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kobasew, Hejda, O'Brien, Porter, Galiardi · DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Fistric, Benn, Larsen

  81. P3 15:28Shot by Elliott, saved by Raycroft
  82. P3 16:24Goal by Porter (Jones, Elliott)+9 pts WP

    On ice: COL McClement, Jones, Porter, Wilson, Elliott · DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Fistric, Benn, Larsen

  83. P3 16:23Shot by Jones, saved by Raycroft
  84. P3 17:49Shot by Ryder, saved by Varlamov
  85. P3 19:19Shot by Elliott, saved by Raycroft6v5
  86. P3 19:32Goal by Ryder (Eriksson, Pardy)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Quincey, Jones, Winnik, O'Reilly, Duchene, Elliott · DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Grossmann, Pardy, Benn

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final