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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 1, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Ottawa Senators 2, Dallas Stars 3

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 55% of the time.

DAL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:08Shot by Cowen, saved by Raycroft
  3. P1 2:02Shot by Daugavins, saved by Raycroft
  4. P1 2:11Shot by Winchester, saved by Raycroft
  5. P1 2:22Shot by Karlsson, saved by Raycroft
  6. P1 3:23Shot by Greening, saved by Raycroft
  7. P1 4:58Condra: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Larsen · OTT Lee, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Rundblad

  8. P1 5:07Shot by Petersen, saved by Anderson5v4
  9. P1 7:07Goal by Condra (Cowen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Larsen · OTT Phillips, Michalek, Condra, Winchester, Cowen

  10. P1 8:28Shot by Wandell, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 9:08Foligno: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Ribeiro, Ott, Vincour · OTT Gonchar, Michalek, Foligno, Condra, Cowen

  12. P1 9:38Goal by Ott (Petersen, Robidas)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Petersen, Ryder, Ott · OTT Phillips, Condra, Smith, Cowen

  13. P1 10:26Shot by Eriksson, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 10:42Shot by Butler, saved by Raycroft
  15. P1 12:08Shot by Filatov, saved by Raycroft
  16. P1 12:34Shot by Michalek, saved by Raycroft
  17. P1 13:37Fistric: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Larsen · OTT Spezza, Lee, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Rundblad

  18. P1 13:45Shot by Greening, saved by Raycroft4v5
  19. P1 14:15Shot by Karlsson, saved by Raycroft4v5
  20. P1 15:23Shot by Rundblad, saved by Raycroft4v5
  21. P1 15:45Shot by Fistric, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 16:25Shot by Pardy, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 17:25Shot by Larsen, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 18:05Shot by Petersen, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 18:40Shot by Souray, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 19:52Shot by Butler, saved by Raycroft
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:39Shot by Gonchar, saved by Raycroft
  30. P2 5:07Shot by Smith, saved by Raycroft
  31. P2 5:37Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Raycroft
  32. P2 9:28Shot by Greening, saved by Raycroft
  33. P2 9:36Shot by Benn, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 10:32Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 11:56Konopka: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Barch, Ryder, Wandell · OTT Phillips, Konopka, Winchester, Rundblad, Butler

  36. P2 17:36Shot by Benn, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P2 19:59Shot by Vincour, saved by Anderson
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:15Shot by Benn, saved by Anderson
  41. P3 1:51Shot by Michalek, saved by Raycroft
  42. P3 1:59Shot by Butler, saved by Raycroft
  43. P3 2:09Shot by Petersen, saved by Anderson
  44. P3 2:44Shot by Phillips, saved by Raycroft
  45. P3 2:45Shot by Greening, saved by Raycroft
  46. P3 3:01Shot by Robidas, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 4:32Shot by Spezza, saved by Raycroft
  48. P3 4:33Shot by Spezza, saved by Raycroft
  49. P3 5:58Shot by Vincour, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 7:02Shot by Spezza, saved by Raycroft
  51. P3 7:57Shot by Benn, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 8:55Shot by Cowen, saved by Raycroft
  53. P3 9:08Shot by Petersen, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 10:16Shot by Fiddler, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 10:23Shot by Ryder, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 10:26Shot by Eriksson, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 10:33Shot by Dvorak, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 10:56Shot by Nystrom, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 11:03Shot by Fistric, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 11:09Shot by Condra, saved by Raycroft
  61. P3 11:30Shot by Benn, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 11:40Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Raycroft
  63. P3 11:42Goal by Michalek (Alfredsson, Foligno)+37 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Benn · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Michalek, Foligno, Cowen

  64. P3 12:34Shot by Smith, saved by Raycroft
  65. P3 12:49Shot by Konopka, saved by Raycroft
  66. P3 13:26Shot by Souray, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 13:55Shot by Grossmann, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 14:26Goal by Dvorak (Ribeiro, Vincour)+40 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Ribeiro, Ott, Fistric, Larsen · OTT Lee, Greening, Condra, Smith, Rundblad

  69. P3 17:12Shot by Fiddler, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 17:40Goal by Nystrom (Fiddler, Dvorak)+39 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Pardy · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Greening, Filatov, Karlsson

  71. P3 17:52Shot by Ryder, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 18:58Shot by Karlsson, saved by Raycroft5v6
  73. P3 19:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Raycroft5v6
  74. P3 19:49Shot by Michalek, saved by Raycroft5v6
  75. P3 19:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Raycroft5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 19:59Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Raycroft5v6
  78. P3 0:00Final