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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 5, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

New York Rangers

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 0:27Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 0:33Shot by Connolly, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 0:51Shot by Anisimov, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 1:14Shot by Hagelin, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 2:05Prust: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Avery, Dubinsky, Prust, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Rosehill, Gunnarsson

  8. P1 2:05Rosehill: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Avery, Dubinsky, Prust, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Rosehill, Gunnarsson

  9. P1 3:26Shot by Anisimov, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 3:33Shot by Hagelin, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 6:01Goal by Franson (Liles, Kessel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Mitchell, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak

  12. P1 8:32Shot by Gaborik, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 10:00Shot by Franson, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 11:21Rosehill: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Woywitka, Eminger, Boyle, Mitchell, Hagelin · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  15. P1 13:18Shot by Anisimov, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  16. P1 13:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 14:16Fedotenko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Dubinsky, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak

  18. P1 14:28Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  19. P1 16:37Shot by Woywitka, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 18:05Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 18:12Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 18:14Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 18:41Shot by Connolly, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  24. P1 18:52Callahan: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · TOR Connolly, Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak

  25. P1 19:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  26. P1 0:00Shot by Connolly, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:09Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P2 2:19Shot by Anisimov, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 2:45Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 3:07Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 4:05Shot by Avery, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 4:47Shot by Girardi, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 5:08Shot by Rosehill, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 5:12Goal by Connolly (Frattin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Fedotenko, Callahan, Sauer, Del Zotto · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Gunnarsson, Frattin

  37. P2 6:36Anisimov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Woywitka, Eminger, Anisimov, Stepan · TOR Liles, Crabb, Franson, Kulemin, Colborne

  38. P2 6:49Goal by Lupul (Bozak, Kessel)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Prust, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  39. P2 7:58Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 8:42Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 10:35Shot by MacArthur, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 12:14Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 12:53Shot by Avery, saved by Gustavsson
  44. P2 13:00Goal by Anisimov (Prust, Del Zotto)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Prust, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto · TOR Crabb, Kulemin, Schenn, Colborne, Gardiner

  45. P2 13:20Steckel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Woywitka, Eminger, Anisimov, Stepan · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Rosehill, Gunnarsson

  46. P2 14:12Shot by Anisimov, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  47. P2 14:12Bozak: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dubinsky, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan · TOR Kulemin, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  48. P2 14:32Goal by Gaborik (Stepan, Richards)5v3+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson

  49. P2 16:45Shot by Bozak, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 17:00Shot by Avery, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P2 18:16Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P2 19:42Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P2 19:59Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:18Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 0:19Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 1:29Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Gustavsson
  59. P3 2:37Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 2:39Shot by Prust, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 4:13Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 5:19Shot by Girardi, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 5:41Shot by Bozak, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 8:02Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 9:55Shot by Mitchell, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 10:23Bozak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Mitchell, Sauer, Hagelin, Del Zotto · TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Frattin, Bozak

  67. P3 12:07Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  68. P3 12:09Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  69. P3 12:56Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson
  70. P3 13:35Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 13:56Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 14:41Shot by MacArthur, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 17:11Anisimov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Girardi, Anisimov, McDonagh · TOR Connolly, Liles, MacArthur, Kulemin, Schenn

  74. P3 18:16Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  75. P3 18:30MacArthur: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Connolly, MacArthur, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Gardiner

  76. P3 19:12Shot by Richards, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  77. P3 19:20Shot by Anisimov, saved by Gustavsson6v4
  78. P3 19:55Goal by Steckel (Schenn)6v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Callahan, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan · TOR Liles, Steckel, Dupuis, Schenn

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final