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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 10, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Anaheim Ducks 2, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 70% of the time.

NSH winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 2:36McGrattan: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Hillen, Josi · ANA Beauchemin, Parros, Beleskey, Macenauer, Fowler

  4. P1 2:36Parros: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Hillen, Josi · ANA Beauchemin, Parros, Beleskey, Macenauer, Fowler

  5. P1 3:40Gordon: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Wilson · ANA Lydman, Hagman, Guenin, Gordon, McMillan

  6. P1 6:18Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Ellis
  7. P1 7:44Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis
  8. P1 10:18Ryan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Klein, Smith · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Ryan, Cogliano, Fowler

  9. P1 11:28Shot by Wilson, saved by Ellis5v4
  10. P1 11:58Shot by Legwand, saved by Ellis5v4
  11. P1 14:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 15:44Shot by Palmieri, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 16:06Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 16:12Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis
  15. P1 16:26Weber: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Spaling · ANA Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Palmieri, Fowler

  16. P1 16:52Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne4v5
  17. P1 18:27Shot by Cogliano, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 19:20Shot by Tootoo, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:38Goal by Gordon (McMillan, Hagman)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Spaling, Hillen, Wilson, Josi · ANA Lydman, Hagman, Guenin, Gordon, McMillan

  22. P2 0:58Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Ellis
  23. P2 4:00McMillan: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Wilson · ANA Lydman, Parros, Guenin, Beleskey, McMillan

  24. P2 4:50Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis5v4
  25. P2 5:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ellis5v4
  26. P2 6:02Shot by Weber, saved by Ellis
  27. P2 6:03Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ellis
  28. P2 6:04Shot by Fisher, saved by Ellis
  29. P2 6:41Shot by Fisher, saved by Ellis
  30. P2 10:24Shot by Suter, saved by Ellis
  31. P2 10:34Shot by Fisher, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 11:34Shot by Klein, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 12:03Goal by Spaling (Wilson, Tootoo)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Spaling, Hillen, Wilson, Josi · ANA Lydman, Hagman, Guenin, Gordon, McMillan

  34. P2 15:06Shot by Hagman, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 15:53Shot by Klein, saved by Ellis
  36. P2 16:31Shot by Fowler, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 17:44Shot by Spaling, saved by Ellis
  38. P2 18:22Shot by Beleskey, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 19:20Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:58McMillan: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Tootoo, Hornqvist, Hillen, Josi · ANA Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Palmieri, Fowler

  43. P3 1:49Shot by Legwand, saved by Ellis5v4
  44. P3 2:33Goal by Josi (Weber, Erat)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · ANA Brookbank, Ryan, Cogliano, Sbisa

  45. P3 2:44Fisher: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  46. P3 2:44Ryan: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  47. P3 4:01Shot by Spaling, saved by Ellis
  48. P3 5:25Goal by Tootoo (Klein, Smithson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Wilson · ANA Lydman, Hagman, Guenin, Gordon, McMillan

  49. P3 5:40Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne
  50. P3 6:28Weber: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Suter, Weber, Smith · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler

  51. P3 6:46Shot by Perry, saved by Rinne4v5
  52. P3 7:58Shot by Selanne, saved by Rinne4v5
  53. P3 9:43Shot by Beleskey, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 13:24Goal by Beauchemin (Selanne, Perry)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Hillen, Wilson, Josi, Smith · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Perry, Macenauer, Fowler

  55. P3 14:18Shot by Palmieri, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 14:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 15:43Shot by Erat, saved by Ellis
  58. P3 16:56Shot by Fisher, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 17:04Shot by Bouillon, saved by Ellis
  60. P3 17:55Shot by Palmieri, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final