Sun, Dec 11, 2011·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 117 | 116 | 03 | 01 | 237 |
| CHI | 08 | 15 | 116 | 15 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:25SJSJamie McGinnAssists: Michal Handzus, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P2 7:53CHIMarcus KrugerAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson, Nick Leddy · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 9:38SJSJustin BraunAssists: Brad Winchester, Andrew Desjardins · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–1
- P3 18:54CHIAndrew BrunetteAssists: Marian Hossa, Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–2
- OT 4:26CHIPatrick SharpGWGAssists: Marian Hossa, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.39 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:12SJSAndrew Desjardins: Boarding2 min
- P1 4:16CHIViktor Stalberg: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:49CHIMarian Hossa: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:55SJSDan Boyle: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:36SJSJoe Thornton: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHandzus – Marleau – McGinn10:33
xG 0.69–0.29 (71%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Thornton – Pavelski – Mitchell11:40
xG 0.46–0.16 (74%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Winchester – Murray – Desjardins7:07
xG 0.40–0.22 (64%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Havlat – Clowe – Couture12:53
xG 0.33–0.82 (28%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWhite – Braun13:53
xG 0.66–0.37 (64%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Burns – Demers11:51
xG 0.38–0.38 (50%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Boyle – Vlasic18:29
xG 0.78–0.88 (47%)attempts 12–12goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Toews – Kane7:16
xG 0.72–0.05 (93%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Mayers – Bolland – Stalberg2:09
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Stalberg – Toews – Kane4:56
xG 0.26–0.11 (71%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Brunette – Hossa – Kruger3:24
xG 0.18–0.12 (59%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – Leddy14:02
xG 0.85–0.59 (59%)attempts 8–16goals 1–1
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson3:03
xG 0.14–0.02 (87%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Keith – Leddy5:17
xG 0.24–0.15 (61%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).