Tue, Dec 13, 2011·TD Garden, Boston
Los Angeles Kings 0, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 08 | 013 | 020 | 041 |
| BOS | 112 | 17 | 13 | 322 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:32BOSRich PeverleyGWGAssists: Zach Hamill, Benoit Pouliot · Tip-in, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 7:43BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Snap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P3 5:35BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:18LAKSlava Voynov: Interference2 min
- P1 7:01LAKMatt Greene: Slashing2 min
- P1 8:01BOSMilan Lucic: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:18LAKSlava Voynov: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:03BOSNathan Horton: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:33BOSSteven Kampfer: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:04BOSDavid Krejci: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 13:25BOSSteven Kampfer: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGagne – Brown – Kopitar11:07
xG 0.65–0.10 (87%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Hunter – Richardson – Loktionov9:18
xG 0.42–0.30 (58%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Fraser – Richardson – Clifford2:07
xG 0.17–0.05 (77%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Williams – Stoll – Penner9:08
xG 0.41–0.35 (54%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Voynov14:00
xG 0.84–0.48 (63%)attempts 30–9goals 0–2
- Scuderi – Doughty14:26
xG 0.66–0.38 (63%)attempts 17–9goals 0–1
- Greene – Drewiske10:42
xG 0.54–0.40 (57%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Seguin9:45
xG 0.56–0.38 (60%)attempts 8–8goals 2–0
- Kelly – Peverley – Pouliot7:19
xG 0.12–0.13 (48%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic11:06
xG 0.16–0.59 (21%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
- Thornton – Paille – Hamill6:27
xG 0.01–0.62 (2%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – McQuaid2:06
xG 0.30–0.07 (81%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Corvo – Seidenberg5:45
xG 0.26–0.15 (63%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Ference – McQuaid8:22
xG 0.25–0.25 (50%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).