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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 13, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York

Dallas Stars 1, New York Rangers 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.

NYR winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 5:21Shot by Robidas, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 5:55Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 7:39Shot by Richards, saved by Bachman
  5. P1 8:35Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 8:49Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 10:10Shot by Gaborik, saved by Bachman
  8. P1 12:06Shot by Larsen, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 12:36Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bachman
  10. P1 12:37Hagelin: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Woywitka, Boyle, Mitchell, Stralman, Hagelin · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Goligoski, Larsen

  11. P1 15:00Shot by Nystrom, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 16:38Shot by Ott, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 16:50Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Bachman
  14. P1 17:03Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Bachman6v5
  15. P1 17:07Shot by Richards, saved by Bachman6v5
  16. P1 17:10Ribeiro: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Richards, Fedotenko, Gaborik, Eminger, Callahan, Del Zotto · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Daley, Grossmann

  17. P1 17:42Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Bachman5v4
  18. P1 18:41Shot by Christensen, saved by Bachman5v4
  19. P1 19:42Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:20Shot by Callahan, saved by Bachman
  23. P2 0:42Shot by Ott, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 0:54Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P2 1:16Shot by Ryder, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 1:30Shot by Gaborik, saved by Bachman
  27. P2 2:22Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 3:16Prust: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Christensen, Dubinsky, Prust, Girardi, McDonagh · DAL Souray, Robidas, Dowell, Wandell, Vincour

  29. P2 3:16Dowell: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Christensen, Dubinsky, Prust, Girardi, McDonagh · DAL Souray, Robidas, Dowell, Wandell, Vincour

  30. P2 3:38Wandell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Christensen, Dubinsky, Girardi, McDonagh · DAL Souray, Robidas, Wandell, Benn, Vincour

  31. P2 3:49Shot by Richards, saved by Bachman5v4
  32. P2 4:46Shot by Richards, saved by Bachman5v4
  33. P2 5:49Shot by Wandell, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 6:15Shot by Ryder, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 8:36Shot by Souray, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 9:11Shot by Anisimov, saved by Bachman
  37. P2 9:44Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 10:30Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Bachman
  39. P2 11:59Shot by Callahan, saved by Bachman
  40. P2 12:59Shot by Larsen, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 13:59Shot by Boyle, saved by Bachman
  42. P2 14:40Shot by Richards, saved by Bachman
  43. P2 14:50Shot by Eminger, saved by Bachman
  44. P2 14:53Shot by Girardi, saved by Bachman
  45. P2 15:01Shot by Ryder, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 15:27Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 17:16Dubinsky: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Eminger, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Daley, Nystrom, Grossmann

  48. P2 17:54Shot by Souray, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  49. P2 18:02Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bachman4v5
  50. P2 19:47Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Bachman
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:17Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 1:21Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 2:11Shot by Mitchell, saved by Bachman
  56. P3 2:22Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Bachman
  57. P3 2:40Shot by Wandell, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 3:37Eminger: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Eminger, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Goligoski, Larsen

  59. P3 3:37Ott: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Eminger, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Goligoski, Larsen

  60. P3 4:57Shot by Stralman, saved by Bachman4v4
  61. P3 5:34Shot by Stralman, saved by Bachman4v4
  62. P3 6:27Shot by Boyle, saved by Bachman
  63. P3 6:41Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bachman
  64. P3 7:08Shot by Girardi, saved by Bachman
  65. P3 7:37Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 8:50Wandell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Woywitka, Christensen, Dubinsky, Prust, Stralman · DAL Souray, Robidas, Dowell, Wandell, Vincour

  67. P3 9:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Bachman5v4
  68. P3 10:09Shot by Callahan, saved by Bachman5v4
  69. P3 10:51Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 11:29Shot by Eminger, saved by Bachman
  71. P3 13:31Shot by Anisimov, saved by Bachman
  72. P3 13:51Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 14:34Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bachman
  74. P3 15:01Goal by Daley (Ribeiro, Morrow)+42 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Woywitka, Dubinsky, Callahan, Stralman · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Daley, Grossmann

  75. P3 15:18Daley: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Eminger, Dubinsky, Callahan, Del Zotto · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Ott, Daley, Grossmann

  76. P3 16:37Shot by Stepan, saved by Bachman5v4
  77. P3 17:28Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final