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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 22, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Nashville Predators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.

NSH winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Umberger, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 2:10Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:53Shot by Smith, saved by Sanford
  6. P1 2:58Shot by Legwand, saved by Sanford
  7. P1 4:30Shot by Tootoo, saved by Sanford
  8. P1 4:42Shot by Hillen, saved by Sanford
  9. P1 9:13Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 10:34Shot by Spaling, saved by Sanford
  11. P1 10:38Shot by Spaling, saved by Sanford
  12. P1 11:32Nikitin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Suter, Weber, Smith · CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Nash, Nikitin, Brassard

  13. P1 12:26Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Sanford5v4
  14. P1 12:29Goal by Fisher (Kostitsyn, Suter)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · CBJ Pahlsson, Tyutin, Methot, Dorsett

  15. P1 12:56Goal by Carter (Prospal)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Blum, Smith · CBJ Prospal, Carter, Clitsome, Letestu, Moore

  16. P1 13:34Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 14:26McGrattan: Interference (5 min)

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Hillen, Josi · CBJ MacKenzie, Tyutin, Nikitin, Boll, Johansen

  18. P1 14:26McGrattan: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Hillen, Josi · CBJ MacKenzie, Tyutin, Nikitin, Boll, Johansen

  19. P1 14:31Shot by Carter, saved by Rinne4v5
  20. P1 14:35Goal by Carter (Nash, Tyutin)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber, Spaling · CBJ Prospal, Tyutin, Nash, Carter, Nikitin

  21. P1 15:10Shot by Nikitin, saved by Rinne4v5
  22. P1 15:22Shot by Letestu, saved by Rinne4v5
  23. P1 15:30Goal by Johansen (Umberger, Brassard)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Spaling, Blum · CBJ Umberger, Wisniewski, Brassard, Letestu, Johansen

  24. P1 16:12Shot by Nikitin, saved by Rinne4v5
  25. P1 16:14Goal by Carter (Nash, Nikitin)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber, Halischuk · CBJ Prospal, Tyutin, Nash, Carter, Nikitin

  26. P1 17:13Shot by Wisniewski, saved by Rinne4v5
  27. P1 17:17Shot by Letestu, saved by Rinne4v5
  28. P1 19:17Shot by Hillen, saved by Sanford4v5
  29. P1 19:55Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Sanford
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 2:08Shot by Nikitin, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 3:09Shot by Tootoo, saved by Sanford
  34. P2 4:22Shot by Smith, saved by Sanford
  35. P2 5:17Shot by Erat, saved by Sanford
  36. P2 5:28Goal by Hornqvist (Weber, Legwand)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist · CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Nikitin, Brassard, Letestu

  37. P2 5:36Shot by Moore, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 6:22Shot by Tootoo, saved by Sanford
  39. P2 6:23Shot by Hillen, saved by Sanford
  40. P2 7:15Legwand: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Josi, Smith · CBJ Prospal, Wisniewski, Carter, Methot, Letestu

  41. P2 7:18Shot by Tyutin, saved by Rinne4v5
  42. P2 7:52Goal by Johansen (Umberger, Brassard)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Nikitin, Brassard, Johansen

  43. P2 8:53Goal by Spaling (Wilson, Tootoo)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Wilson, Josi · CBJ Vermette, Wisniewski, Methot, Boll, Johansen

  44. P2 10:36Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 11:15MacKenzie: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Halischuk, Blum, Hillen · CBJ MacKenzie, Tyutin, Carter, Nikitin, Boll

  46. P2 12:34Shot by Weber, saved by Sanford5v4
  47. P2 13:41Goal by Josi (Bouillon, Erat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Erat, Hornqvist, Josi · CBJ Prospal, Tyutin, Carter, Nikitin, Letestu

  48. P2 13:56Shot by Halischuk, saved by Sanford
  49. P2 13:59Shot by Josi, saved by Sanford
  50. P2 14:21Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 15:50Shot by Clitsome, saved by Rinne
  52. P2 16:02Shot by Nikitin, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 17:00Shot by Halischuk, saved by Sanford
  54. P2 17:38Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Sanford
  55. P2 17:42Brassard: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · CBJ Umberger, Nash, Wisniewski, Methot, Brassard

  56. P2 17:42Kostitsyn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · CBJ Umberger, Nash, Wisniewski, Methot, Brassard

  57. P2 19:01Shot by Smith, saved by Sanford4v4
  58. P2 19:20Shot by Smith, saved by Sanford4v4
  59. P2 19:45Shot by Nikitin, saved by Rinne
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:19Hornqvist: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist · CBJ Umberger, Nash, Wisniewski, Methot, Brassard

  63. P3 1:51Shot by Prospal, saved by Rinne4v5
  64. P3 2:37Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne4v5
  65. P3 3:29Shot by Tootoo, saved by Sanford
  66. P3 5:08Shot by Legwand, saved by Sanford
  67. P3 5:22Shot by Suter, saved by Sanford
  68. P3 6:18Shot by Wilson, saved by Sanford
  69. P3 7:06Shot by Tootoo, saved by Sanford
  70. P3 7:57Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 8:43Shot by Smithson, saved by Sanford
  72. P3 10:43Shot by Wilson, saved by Sanford
  73. P3 11:30Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Sanford
  74. P3 12:41Shot by Vermette, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 12:56Shot by Umberger, saved by Rinne
  76. P3 13:25Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Sanford
  77. P3 15:49Shot by Suter, saved by Sanford
  78. P3 15:52Brassard: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Wilson · CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Nash, Nikitin, Brassard

  79. P3 16:14Goal by Legwand (Wilson, Weber)5v4+40 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Wilson, Smith · CBJ Pahlsson, Tyutin, Nikitin, Dorsett

  80. P3 16:39Shot by Prospal, saved by Rinne
  81. P3 18:03Shot by Suter, saved by Sanford
  82. P3 19:00Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  83. P3 19:51Goal by Erat (Suter, Weber)+44 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · CBJ Vermette, Tyutin, Wisniewski, Carter, Dorsett

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final