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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 26, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Washington Capitals

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Hamrlik: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Weber · WSH Hamrlik, Wideman, Semin, Backstrom, Johansson

  3. P1 0:51Goal by Pominville (Stafford, Leopold)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford · WSH Laich, Brouwer, Alzner, Carlson

  4. P1 2:13Shot by Stafford, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 3:10Goal by Ellis, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Ellis, Weber, Adam, Kassian · WSH Knuble, Hendricks, Perreault, Alzner, Orlov

  6. P1 3:23Shot by Pominville, saved by Neuvirth
  7. P1 3:35Shot by Johansson, saved by Miller
  8. P1 4:01Shot by Kaleta, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 4:10Shot by Brouwer, saved by Miller
  10. P1 5:23Shot by Backstrom, saved by Miller
  11. P1 5:27Shot by Alzner, saved by Miller
  12. P1 8:11Kaleta: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Kaleta, McNabb · WSH Erskine, Laich, Ovechkin, Brouwer, Orlov

  13. P1 8:18Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller4v5
  14. P1 8:56Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller4v5
  15. P1 11:15Goal by Ehrhoff (Hecht, Vanek)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Kassian · WSH Knuble, Hamrlik, Wideman, Backstrom, Johansson

  16. P1 12:39Ovechkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, McNabb · WSH Hamrlik, Laich, Wideman, Ovechkin, Brouwer

  17. P1 14:14Goal by McNabb (Boyes, Roy)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Sekera, Adam, McNabb · WSH Chimera, Semin, Alzner, Carlson

  18. P1 15:09Shot by Ward, saved by Miller
  19. P1 17:47Shot by Sekera, saved by Vokoun
  20. P1 18:49Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  21. P1 19:16Weber: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Weber · WSH Hamrlik, Laich, Wideman, Ovechkin, Brouwer

  22. P1 19:39Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:29Shot by Gaustad, saved by Vokoun4v5
  26. P2 1:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Miller4v5
  27. P2 5:23Ward: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Roy, Ellis, Weber · WSH Halpern, Ward, Hendricks, Alzner, Carlson

  28. P2 7:38Shot by Weber, saved by Vokoun
  29. P2 8:53McNabb: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Kaleta, McNabb · WSH Hamrlik, Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Johansson, Orlov

  30. P2 9:42Shot by Backstrom, saved by Miller4v5
  31. P2 10:28Shot by Carlson, saved by Miller4v5
  32. P2 14:01Shot by Boyes, saved by Vokoun
  33. P2 14:20Shot by Hecht, saved by Vokoun
  34. P2 14:38Shot by Sekera, saved by Vokoun
  35. P2 17:09Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  36. P2 19:43Goal by Hendricks (Perreault)+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Kaleta, McNabb · WSH Knuble, Hamrlik, Hendricks, Wideman, Perreault

  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:08Shot by Semin, saved by Miller
  40. P3 1:17Shot by Stafford, saved by Vokoun
  41. P3 1:50Shot by Gaustad, saved by Vokoun
  42. P3 1:52Shot by McNabb, saved by Vokoun
  43. P3 2:28Shot by Brouwer, saved by Miller
  44. P3 3:07Shot by Ward, saved by Miller
  45. P3 3:42Shot by McNabb, saved by Vokoun
  46. P3 4:15Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  47. P3 5:09Shot by Stafford, saved by Vokoun
  48. P3 7:18Shot by Laich, saved by Miller
  49. P3 7:26Shot by Stafford, saved by Vokoun
  50. P3 9:07Kaleta: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Kaleta, McNabb · WSH Chimera, Laich, Semin, Ovechkin, Alzner, Carlson

  51. P3 9:51Goal by Ovechkin (Backstrom, Wideman)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Stafford, Sekera · WSH Wideman, Ovechkin, Brouwer, Backstrom, Johansson

  52. P3 10:11Laich: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Roy, Stafford, Weber · WSH Chimera, Laich, Semin, Alzner, Carlson

  53. P3 10:59Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Vokoun5v4
  54. P3 11:38Shot by Roy, saved by Vokoun5v4
  55. P3 16:28Shot by Vanek, saved by Vokoun
  56. P3 17:06Perreault: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, McCormick, Kaleta, Weber · WSH Knuble, Chimera, Perreault, Alzner, Carlson

  57. P3 18:32Shot by Adam, saved by Vokoun5v4
  58. P3 19:18Shot by Backstrom, saved by Miller5v6
  59. P3 19:22Shot by Perreault, saved by Miller5v6
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final