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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 27, 2011·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:57Goal by Gudbranson (Kennedy)+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Barch, Kennedy, Repik, Kulikov, Gudbranson · TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak

  3. P1 2:22Shot by Repik, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 3:32Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 8:30Shot by Franson, saved by Theodore
  6. P1 10:39Shot by Crabb, saved by Theodore
  7. P1 10:46Shot by Steckel, saved by Theodore
  8. P1 11:43Shot by Aulie, saved by Theodore
  9. P1 12:37Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore
  10. P1 12:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore
  11. P1 13:03Shot by Schenn, saved by Theodore
  12. P1 13:15Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Theodore
  13. P1 14:35Garrison: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Barch, Versteeg, Kennedy, Garrison · TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Frattin, Gardiner

  14. P1 16:23Shot by MacArthur, saved by Theodore4v5
  15. P1 16:29Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore4v5
  16. P1 19:04Shot by Lupul, saved by Theodore
  17. P1 19:17Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:36Shot by Bradley, saved by Reimer
  21. P2 0:44Shot by MacArthur, saved by Theodore
  22. P2 2:11Goal by Grabovski (Franson, Kulemin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Barch, Kennedy, Repik, Gudbranson · TOR Grabovski, Franson, Kulemin, Frattin, Gardiner

  23. P2 2:30Goal by Thomas (Dadonov, Cullen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Cullen, Thomas, Dadonov, Kulikov · TOR Grabovski, Franson, Kulemin, Frattin, Gardiner

  24. P2 2:53Shot by Repik, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 3:17Aulie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Barch, Kennedy, Repik, Gudbranson · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie

  26. P2 4:13Goal by Garrison (Campbell, Repik)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Matthias, Repik, Garrison · TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Bozak

  27. P2 4:46Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  28. P2 4:48Shot by Bozak, saved by Theodore
  29. P2 5:14Grabovski: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Barch, Kennedy, Repik, Garrison · TOR Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Schenn

  30. P2 5:54MacArthur: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Fleischmann, Matthias, Repik, Kulikov · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Aulie

  31. P2 6:55Goal by Versteeg (Campbell, Kopecky)5v3+6 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison · TOR Steckel, Aulie, Schenn

  32. P2 7:34Shot by Matthias, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  33. P2 8:48Shot by Kulemin, saved by Theodore
  34. P2 9:34Goal by Phaneuf (Kessel, Lupul)+6 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kopecky, Versteeg, Santorelli, Garrison, Kulikov · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak

  35. P2 11:57Shot by Frattin, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 12:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 12:43Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  38. P2 13:27Shot by Kadri, saved by Theodore
  39. P2 14:31Shot by Repik, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 14:32Shot by Repik, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 15:15Shot by Garrison, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 15:34Shot by Kadri, saved by Theodore
  43. P2 16:15Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Gustavsson
  44. P2 18:15Shot by Repik, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P2 18:37Shot by Gardiner, saved by Theodore
  46. P2 19:00Shot by Thomas, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P2 19:05Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 19:38Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:46Shot by Campbell, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P3 2:41Campbell: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kennedy, Dadonov, Repik, Garrison · TOR Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Schenn

  53. P3 3:39Shot by Garrison, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  54. P3 3:47Shot by Kulikov, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  55. P3 6:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  56. P3 6:02Shot by Bozak, saved by Theodore
  57. P3 7:53Shot by MacArthur, saved by Theodore
  58. P3 7:56Shot by MacArthur, saved by Theodore
  59. P3 8:03Fleischmann: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Bradley, Weaver, Fleischmann, Matthias, Kulikov · TOR Connolly, MacArthur, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri

  60. P3 8:21Shot by Kopecky, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  61. P3 9:17Goal by Grabovski (MacArthur, Franson)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Kennedy, Thomas, Kulikov · TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri

  62. P3 9:28Shot by Thomas, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 11:44Goal by Fleischmann (Bradley, Campbell)+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Bradley, Fleischmann, Matthias, Gudbranson · TOR Connolly, MacArthur, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  64. P3 12:30Cullen: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Cullen, Thomas, Dadonov, Gudbranson · TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  65. P3 14:56Shot by Repik, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 15:52Shot by Kulikov, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 16:51Shot by Kopecky, saved by Gustavsson
  68. P3 17:26Shot by Kulemin, saved by Theodore
  69. P3 17:27Shot by Kulemin, saved by Theodore
  70. P3 18:10Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore5v6
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final