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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 1, 2012·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Calgary Flames 3, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.

NSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by Tootoo, saved by Kiprusoff
  3. P1 2:27Shot by Tootoo, saved by Kiprusoff
  4. P1 3:47Goal by Iginla (Jokinen, Glencross)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Josi · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Jokinen, Glencross, Butler

  5. P1 3:57Shot by Suter, saved by Kiprusoff
  6. P1 7:57Shot by Backlund, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 8:05Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 8:22Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 9:25Shot by Smithson, saved by Kiprusoff
  10. P1 9:39Shot by Stempniak, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 10:12Spaling: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Spaling, Josi, Bourque · CGY Hannan, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Bouwmeester, Horak

  12. P1 12:03Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne4v5
  13. P1 12:39Goal by Klein (Spaling, Tootoo)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Bourque · CGY Morrison, Hannan, Bouwmeester, Comeau, Bourque

  14. P1 13:17Shot by Stempniak, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 15:06Goal by Kostitsyn (Fisher, Hornqvist)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Josi · CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Hannan, Bouwmeester, Glencross

  16. P1 16:15Shot by Byron, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 16:50Shot by Backlund, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 17:12Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kiprusoff
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:27Shot by Jokinen, saved by Rinne
  22. P2 0:44Shot by Suter, saved by Kiprusoff
  23. P2 0:57Shot by Smith, saved by Kiprusoff
  24. P2 1:55Shot by Tootoo, saved by Kiprusoff
  25. P2 2:27Goal by Halischuk (Tootoo, Hillen)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Halischuk, Spaling, Hillen, Ellis · CGY Hannan, Bouwmeester, Stempniak, Byron, Backlund

  26. P2 2:41Shot by Halischuk, saved by Kiprusoff
  27. P2 3:10Shot by Ellis, saved by Kiprusoff
  28. P2 3:52Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Kiprusoff
  29. P2 4:02Shot by Josi, saved by Kiprusoff
  30. P2 5:59Goal by Kostitsyn (Hornqvist, Smithson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Hillen, Ellis · CGY Bouwmeester, Stempniak, Byron, Brodie, Horak

  31. P2 6:56Shot by Glencross, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 8:51Shot by Hillen, saved by Kiprusoff
  33. P2 11:40Shot by Suter, saved by Kiprusoff
  34. P2 11:59Jackman: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Spaling, Josi, Bourque · CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Glencross, Butler

  35. P2 13:07Shot by Erat, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  36. P2 13:16Shot by Josi, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  37. P2 16:36Shot by McGrattan, saved by Kiprusoff
  38. P2 17:04Shot by Brodie, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 18:29Shot by Ellis, saved by Kiprusoff
  40. P2 18:53Shot by Jokinen, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:17Goal by Bourque (Stempniak, Comeau)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Klein, Smith · CGY Sarich, Stempniak, Comeau, Bourque, Brodie

  44. P3 1:32Shot by Spaling, saved by Kiprusoff
  45. P3 1:36Shot by Hillen, saved by Kiprusoff
  46. P3 1:56Kostopoulos: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Hillen, Ellis · CGY Hannan, Kostopoulos, Jackman, Babchuk, Backlund

  47. P3 2:30Shot by Erat, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  48. P3 4:04Shot by Tootoo, saved by Kiprusoff
  49. P3 4:42Byron: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Ellis, Bourque · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Jokinen, Butler, Byron

  50. P3 5:13Hornqvist: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Josi · CGY Hannan, Bouwmeester, Glencross, Backlund

  51. P3 6:11Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne4v4
  52. P3 6:55Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Rinne4v5
  53. P3 7:49Shot by Glencross, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 17:55Shot by Brodie, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 17:57Goal by Morrison (Brodie, Byron)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Smithson, Kostitsyn, Hillen, Ellis · CGY Morrison, Sarich, Byron, Brodie, Horak

  56. P3 18:32Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 19:30Goal by Kostitsyn (Klein)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Klein, Kostitsyn, Spaling · CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Glencross, Bourque, Brodie

  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final