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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 5, 2012·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 4, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 79% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:46Tootoo: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Hillen, Bourque · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Pardy

  4. P1 1:46Fistric: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Hillen, Bourque · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Pardy

  5. P1 3:39Shot by Legwand, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 4:18Goal by Ribeiro (Eriksson, Morrow)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Klein, Josi, Smith · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Eriksson, Goligoski

  7. P1 5:14Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 7:11Shot by Daley, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 7:55Shot by Weber, saved by Lehtonen
  10. P1 8:31Goal by Bourque (Tootoo, Spaling)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Hillen, Bourque · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Pardy

  11. P1 9:09Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen
  12. P1 9:50Shot by Eriksson, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 10:41Shot by Bouillon, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 10:47Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 12:41Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 15:46Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 15:55Shot by Klein, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 17:08Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 17:15Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 17:49Shot by Tootoo, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 18:16Shot by Dvorak, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 19:19Shot by Grossmann, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 19:21Goal by Ribeiro (Grossmann, Eriksson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Klein, Halischuk, Josi · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Daley, Eriksson, Grossmann

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:46Weber: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Bourque · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Eriksson, Grossmann

  27. P2 1:44Shot by Eriksson, saved by Rinne4v5
  28. P2 2:48Shot by Dvorak, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 4:21Shot by Burish, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 4:31Shot by Fistric, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 5:16Shot by Goligoski, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 6:28Goal by Benn, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Bourque · DAL Ryder, Ott, Daley, Grossmann, Benn

  33. P2 6:59Daley: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Bourque · DAL Ryder, Ott, Daley, Grossmann, Benn

  34. P2 8:30Shot by Ott, saved by Rinne5v4
  35. P2 9:10Shot by Tootoo, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 9:14Shot by Tootoo, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 10:19Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 10:45Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 11:38Shot by Halischuk, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 13:08Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 13:52Shot by Josi, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 14:37Shot by Morrow, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 14:57Shot by Weber, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P2 15:26Shot by Morrow, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 16:09Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 16:26Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 18:52Shot by Ott, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 18:51Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 19:03Fisher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Tootoo, Suter, Kostitsyn · DAL Robidas, Ryder, Ott, Goligoski, Wandell

  50. P2 19:11Shot by Daley, saved by Rinne4v5
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:06Shot by Weber, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  54. P3 1:30Shot by Josi, saved by Lehtonen
  55. P3 1:59Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehtonen
  56. P3 2:37Shot by Dvorak, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 3:31Shot by Morrow, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 4:27Shot by Morrow, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 5:44Bouillon: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling, Bourque · DAL Dvorak, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric, Benn

  60. P3 5:58Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne4v5
  61. P3 8:29Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne5v6
  62. P3 8:35Tootoo: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Tootoo, Josi, Bourque · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Benn, Benn

  63. P3 8:35Fiddler: Roughing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Tootoo, Josi, Bourque · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Benn, Benn

  64. P3 8:35Tootoo: Diving (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Tootoo, Josi, Bourque · DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Benn, Benn

  65. P3 9:06Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne4v5
  66. P3 9:16Shot by Goligoski, saved by Rinne4v5
  67. P3 12:53Goal by Burish (Wandell, Benn)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Smith, Bourque · DAL Robidas, Burish, Goligoski, Wandell, Benn

  68. P3 13:15Shot by Bouillon, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 13:16Morrow: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Hornqvist, Josi · DAL Morrow, Ribeiro, Daley, Eriksson, Grossmann

  70. P3 16:01Ryder: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Tootoo, Weber, Spaling · DAL Ryder, Ott, Daley, Grossmann, Benn

  71. P3 16:09Shot by Weber, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final