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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 7, 2012·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 73% of the time.

NSH winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:51Shot by Dwyer, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 1:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Peters
  5. P1 2:06Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Peters
  6. P1 2:34Shot by Harrison, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:51Shot by Tootoo, saved by Peters
  8. P1 5:53Shot by Tlusty, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 6:14Shot by Fisher, saved by Peters
  10. P1 6:20Shot by Jokinen, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 7:43Shot by Spacek, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Spaling, saved by Peters
  13. P1 9:00Shot by Nodl, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 9:14Goal by Weber (Erat, Kostitsyn)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · CAR Allen, Spacek, Ruutu, Jokinen, Staal

  15. P1 10:54Shot by Sutter, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 11:56LaRose: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Hornqvist, Wilson, Ellis · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Dwyer, Sutter, Faulk

  17. P1 12:05Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Peters5v4
  18. P1 13:16Goal by Smith (Legwand, Wilson)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Wilson, Smith · CAR Harrison, Staal, Sutter, Faulk

  19. P1 16:54Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Peters
  20. P1 17:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Peters
  21. P1 18:03Shot by Klein, saved by Peters
  22. P1 18:54Shot by Ruutu, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 19:25Shot by Dwyer, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:32Shot by Tlusty, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 1:16Shot by Harrison, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 4:29Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Peters
  29. P2 5:38Shot by Tlusty, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 7:56Shot by Tootoo, saved by Peters
  31. P2 8:07Shot by Spaling, saved by Peters
  32. P2 8:37Shot by Bourque, saved by Peters
  33. P2 8:46Shot by Stewart, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 9:43Shot by Harrison, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 10:03Shot by Dwyer, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 10:28Shot by Fisher, saved by Peters
  37. P2 11:44Shot by Klein, saved by Peters
  38. P2 12:23Shot by Faulk, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 12:43Shot by Josi, saved by Peters
  40. P2 12:58Tootoo: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Josi, Bourque · CAR Allen, Spacek, LaRose, Dwyer, Sutter

  41. P2 13:49Shot by Weber, saved by Peters4v5
  42. P2 15:06Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 15:40Ponikarovsky: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Tootoo, Klein, Kostitsyn · CAR Ponikarovsky, Harrison, LaRose, Brent, McBain

  44. P2 16:15Shot by Weber, saved by Peters5v4
  45. P2 16:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Peters5v4
  46. P2 17:04Goal by Hornqvist (Fisher, Ellis)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Hornqvist, Josi, Ellis · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk

  47. P2 18:03Shot by Spaling, saved by Peters
  48. P2 19:15Shot by Erat, saved by Peters
  49. P2 19:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Peters
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:08Nodl: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Wilson · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Nodl, Sutter, Faulk

  53. P3 3:45Shot by Stewart, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 4:46Shot by Legwand, saved by Peters
  55. P3 5:08Shot by Smith, saved by Peters
  56. P3 5:15Shot by Halischuk, saved by Peters
  57. P3 5:54Sutter: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Halischuk, Ellis, Smith · CAR Gleason, LaRose, Nodl, McBain, Sutter

  58. P3 6:51Shot by Erat, saved by Peters5v4
  59. P3 6:56Goal by Hornqvist (Erat, Fisher)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk

  60. P3 8:08Shot by Harrison, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 8:35Goal by Harrison (Staal, Stewart)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Spaling · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Staal, Stewart, Faulk

  62. P3 9:28Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 10:09Shot by Dwyer, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 11:01Shot by Legwand, saved by Peters
  65. P3 13:09Jokinen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson · CAR Gleason, Jokinen, Staal, Stewart, McBain

  66. P3 13:51Shot by Sutter, saved by Rinne5v4
  67. P3 13:55Shot by Allen, saved by Rinne5v4
  68. P3 13:54Shot by Sutter, saved by Rinne5v4
  69. P3 14:06Shot by Faulk, saved by Rinne5v4
  70. P3 14:28Goal by Ellis (Josi, Fisher)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Hornqvist, Josi, Ellis · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Sutter, Faulk

  71. P3 15:39Shot by Smith, saved by Peters
  72. P3 16:12Josi: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Klein, Halischuk, Josi, Smith · CAR Allen, Spacek, Ruutu, LaRose, Sutter

  73. P3 16:47Shot by Stewart, saved by Rinne4v5
  74. P3 17:56Goal by Harrison (McBain, Sutter)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Klein, Halischuk, Ellis, Bourque · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Dwyer, McBain, Sutter

  75. P3 18:37Shot by Halischuk, saved by Peters
  76. P3 18:51Shot by Weber, saved by Peters
  77. P3 19:54Shot by Tootoo, saved by Peters
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final