Tue, Jan 10, 2012·Madison Square Garden, New York
Phoenix Coyotes 1, New York Rangers 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 05 | 05 | 16 | 03 | 1 | 119 |
| NYR | 012 | 09 | 110 | 01 | 2 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 2:27NYRRuslan FedotenkoAssists: Brian Boyle, Carl Hagelin · Snap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P3 11:37PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Marc-Antoine Pouliot, Michal Rozsival · Slap, 0.10 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NYR John Mitchell stopped
- 2. PHX Oliver Ekman-Larsson stopped
- 3. NYR Brad Richards stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 5. NYR Marian Gaborik scored
- 6. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 7. NYR Artem Anisimov stopped
- 8. PHX Adrian Aucoin stopped
- 9. NYR Ryan Callahan stopped
- 10. PHX Ray Whitney stopped
- 11. NYR Derek Stepan scored
- 12. PHX Shane Doan stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:57NYRMike Rupp: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:57PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:44PHXRadim Vrbata: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:50NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:50PHXDaymond Langkow: Roughing2 min
- OT 3:10PHXAdrian Aucoin: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Langkow won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Vrbata – Pouliot3:39
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Torres – Gordon – Bissonnette2:40
xG 0.12–0.02 (86%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Langkow – Doan – Boedker13:41
xG 0.48–0.53 (47%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Chipchura10:13
xG 0.37–0.59 (38%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Rozsival – Klesla15:04
xG 0.46–0.85 (35%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
- Aucoin – Ekman-Larsson20:13
xG 0.63–1.23 (34%)attempts 13–22goals 0–0
- Morris – Yandle16:21
xG 0.22–1.00 (18%)attempts 10–19goals 0–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestFedotenko – Boyle – Hagelin10:46
xG 0.94–0.13 (88%)attempts 15–4goals 1–0
- Richards – Dubinsky – Callahan15:17
xG 1.18–0.39 (75%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Rupp – Mitchell – Prust4:36
xG 0.63–0.17 (79%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Anisimov – Stepan13:15
xG 0.60–0.57 (51%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGirardi – McDonagh18:32
xG 1.69–0.47 (78%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
- Stralman – Del Zotto16:54
xG 0.89–0.14 (87%)attempts 21–9goals 0–0
- Staal – Bickel11:13
xG 0.88–0.58 (60%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).