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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 10, 2012·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 4, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 52% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:47Shot by Bourque, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 4:30Shot by Tootoo, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 4:31Goal by Spaling (Tootoo, Bourque)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kobasew, McClement, Hunwick, Winnik, Elliott · NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Ellis, Bourque

  7. P1 5:47Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 6:07Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 7:18Galiardi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Galiardi, Elliott · NSH Tootoo, Klein, Weber, Spaling, Bourque

  10. P1 7:41Goal by Ellis (Erat, Josi)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL McClement, O'Byrne, Hejda, Winnik · NSH Fisher, Erat, Hornqvist, Josi, Ellis

  11. P1 8:10Shot by Spaling, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 8:55Shot by Halischuk, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 8:56Shot by Halischuk, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 9:36Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 10:40Shot by Winnik, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 10:52Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 12:26Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 15:05Goal by Erat (Fisher, Suter)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Hunwick, O'Reilly, Elliott, Landeskog · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn

  19. P1 17:43Shot by Hejduk, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 19:05Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 19:55Shot by Kobasew, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:42Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 1:20Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 1:38Shot by Tootoo, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 2:13Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 2:53Halischuk: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Hejda, Jones, Galiardi, O'Reilly · NSH McGrattan, Klein, Halischuk, Josi, Smith

  29. P2 3:01Shot by Hejduk, saved by Rinne5v4
  30. P2 3:30Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne5v4
  31. P2 6:23Shot by Porter, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 6:46Shot by Hejda, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 8:34Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 9:36Shot by Elliott, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 9:49Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 10:35Shot by Hejda, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 12:05Shot by Jones, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 12:48Shot by Quincey, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 13:15Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 13:27Shot by Hejduk, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 13:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 14:16Shot by Winnik, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 15:21Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 16:12Landeskog: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Hunwick, Wilson, O'Reilly, Landeskog · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Erat, Hornqvist, Wilson, Josi

  45. P2 16:33Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov4v5
  46. P2 17:12Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov4v5
  47. P2 18:25Bouillon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Hunwick, O'Reilly, Elliott, Landeskog · NSH Bouillon, Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Bourque

  48. P2 19:08Shot by Elliott, saved by Rinne5v4
  49. P2 19:24Goal by O'Reilly (Stastny)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Quincey, Stastny, O'Reilly, Landeskog · NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn

  50. P2 19:57Shot by Kobasew, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:31O'Byrne: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejduk, O'Byrne, Hejda, O'Reilly, Landeskog · NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson

  54. P3 0:51Hornqvist: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL McClement, Quincey, Winnik, Wilson · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist

  55. P3 2:03Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne4v4
  56. P3 2:42Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne5v4
  57. P3 2:51Shot by Elliott, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 3:49Shot by Hejduk, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 4:28Shot by Winnik, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 11:02Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 11:40Shot by Tootoo, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 11:56Shot by Spaling, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 12:06Shot by Galiardi, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 12:53Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 13:07Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 13:30Shot by Porter, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 14:04Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 15:34Goal by Hornqvist (Ellis)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kobasew, McClement, Quincey, Winnik, Elliott · NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Hornqvist, Wilson, Ellis

  69. P3 17:50Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 19:12Shot by Halischuk, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final