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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 12, 2012·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 3, New York Rangers 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 3:28Shot by Daugavins, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:44Shot by Wolski, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 4:08Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 5:35Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 5:36Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 6:06Shot by Stralman, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 6:18Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 6:43Prust: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Rupp, Mitchell, Prust, Staal, Bickel · OTT Konopka, Lee, Daugavins, Karlsson, Butler

  11. P1 6:43Konopka: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Rupp, Mitchell, Prust, Staal, Bickel · OTT Konopka, Lee, Daugavins, Karlsson, Butler

  12. P1 7:05Shot by Hagelin, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 7:52Foligno: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Lee, Greening

  14. P1 8:39Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson5v4
  15. P1 8:56Shot by Wolski, saved by Anderson5v4
  16. P1 9:35Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 11:02Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 11:11Shot by Callahan, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 11:29Kuba: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Wolski, Callahan, Staal, Girardi · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  20. P1 11:29Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson6v4
  21. P1 16:33Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 16:44Shot by Hagelin, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 17:49Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 18:52Shot by Michalek, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 19:15Fedotenko: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  26. P1 19:38Shot by Neil, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:09Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson4v5
  31. P2 1:47Shot by Wolski, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 3:30Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 3:46Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 5:34Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 7:02Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 8:54Goal by Spezza (Phillips)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Girardi, Anisimov, McDonagh, Stepan · OTT Kuba, Phillips, Spezza, Condra, Turris

  37. P2 9:17Shot by Kuba, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 10:01Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 10:33Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 10:57Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 11:56Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 12:01Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 13:53Shot by Rupp, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 14:19Shot by Stralman, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 15:45Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 18:52Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 18:58Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 19:47Neil: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Stralman, Del Zotto, Stepan · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Cowen

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:20Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  52. P3 2:06Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 2:16Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 2:52Shot by Rupp, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 3:33Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 4:04Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 5:40Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 5:58Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 6:36Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 7:37Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 8:46Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 12:45Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 13:58Goal by Michalek (Karlsson, Greening)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Boyle, Staal, Hagelin, Del Zotto · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  64. P3 14:37Callahan: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · OTT Kuba, Konopka, Daugavins, Cowen, Butler

  65. P3 15:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  66. P3 15:33Goal by Spezza (Karlsson)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Staal, Hagelin, Del Zotto · OTT Kuba, Neil, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  67. P3 15:47Shot by Mitchell, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 15:53Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 18:50Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 19:08Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 19:12Michalek: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · OTT Gonchar, Michalek, Condra, Turris, Cowen

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final