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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 14, 2012·Centre Bell, Montreal

Ottawa Senators 3, Montréal Canadiens 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 65% of the time.

MTL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Desharnais, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 3:07Shot by Greening, saved by Price
  4. P1 3:34Shot by Turris, saved by Price
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Blunden, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 5:00Shot by Cole, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 5:15Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  8. P1 7:12Kostitsyn: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Kostitsyn, Subban, Pacioretty, Eller · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  9. P1 9:09Shot by Plekanec, saved by Anderson4v5
  10. P1 9:29Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  11. P1 9:38Konopka: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Diaz · OTT Phillips, Carkner, Konopka, Daugavins, Butler

  12. P1 11:40Condra: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Moen, Gorges, Kostitsyn, Subban, Eller · OTT Kuba, Neil, Konopka, Condra, Karlsson

  13. P1 12:05Shot by Kaberle, saved by Anderson5v4
  14. P1 12:18Weber: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Desharnais, Weber, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Konopka, Daugavins, Cowen

  15. P1 13:21Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Anderson4v4
  16. P1 14:24Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price4v5
  17. P1 15:58Shot by Gorges, saved by Anderson4v5
  18. P1 16:08Shot by Greening, saved by Price4v5
  19. P1 18:35Shot by Cowen, saved by Price
  20. P1 18:44Shot by Desharnais, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 18:45Turris: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Cole, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Diaz · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Condra, Turris, Cowen

  22. P1 19:51Shot by Campoli, saved by Anderson5v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:18Shot by Weber, saved by Anderson5v4
  26. P2 1:23Shot by Subban, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 4:01Shot by Condra, saved by Price
  28. P2 4:09Karlsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Diaz · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Condra, Turris, Karlsson

  29. P2 4:51Shot by Kaberle, saved by Anderson5v4
  30. P2 5:01Shot by Weber, saved by Anderson5v4
  31. P2 5:26Shot by Subban, saved by Anderson5v4
  32. P2 6:22Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price
  33. P2 6:37Shot by Turris, saved by Price
  34. P2 6:58Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 7:28Shot by Foligno, saved by Price
  36. P2 7:44Shot by Plekanec, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 8:23Shot by Cole, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 8:24Smith: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Cole, Darche, Nokelainen, Weber · OTT Kuba, Konopka, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  39. P2 10:51Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 11:20Shot by Subban, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 12:40Shot by Cole, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 12:52Pacioretty: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Gill, Cole, Desharnais, Weber, Pacioretty · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Condra, Turris, Cowen

  43. P2 18:21Shot by Neil, saved by Price
  44. P2 19:15Pacioretty: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Gomez, Plekanec, Gorges, Blunden, Subban · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Konopka, Michalek, Karlsson, Butler

  45. P2 19:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price4v5
  46. P2 19:59Shot by Plekanec, saved by Anderson4v5
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:17Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price4v5
  50. P3 0:29Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price4v5
  51. P3 0:42Goal by Plekanec, unassisted4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  52. P3 0:57Shot by Subban, saved by Anderson4v5
  53. P3 2:43Shot by Eller, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 4:02Shot by Gill, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 4:46Shot by Michalek, saved by Price
  56. P3 5:57Goal by Turris (Gonchar, Foligno)+28 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Moen, Kostitsyn, Eller, Diaz · OTT Gonchar, Foligno, Turris, Cowen, Butler

  57. P3 6:32Shot by Plekanec, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 7:20Shot by Michalek, saved by Price
  59. P3 8:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price
  60. P3 10:28Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price
  61. P3 10:36Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price
  62. P3 10:47Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price
  63. P3 11:13Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 13:22Plekanec: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Gomez, Plekanec, Blunden, Weber · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Greening, Smith, Cowen

  65. P3 13:42Goal by Spezza (Karlsson, Kuba)4v5+42 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Moen, Gorges, Eller · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  66. P3 14:21Shot by Turris, saved by Price4v5
  67. P3 15:40Shot by Subban, saved by Anderson4v5
  68. P3 16:37Shot by Kaberle, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 19:19Shot by Campoli, saved by Anderson6v5
  70. P3 19:20Shot by Desharnais, saved by Anderson6v5
  71. P3 19:21Goal by Pacioretty (Desharnais, Campoli)6v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Plekanec, Campoli, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  72. P3 19:32Gorges: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Moen, Gorges, Kostitsyn, Subban, Eller · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Condra, Turris, Cowen

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 19:59Shot by Greening, saved by Price4v5
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 1:24Shot by Subban, saved by Anderson3v4
  77. OT 2:22Shot by Diaz, saved by Anderson4v4
  78. OT 3:26Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Anderson4v4
  79. OT 5:00Period end
  80. SO Period start
  81. SO Shot by Michalek, saved by Priceother
  82. SO Shot by Kaberle, saved by Andersonother
  83. SO Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Andersonother
  84. SO Goal by Alfredsson, unassistedother
  85. SO Period end
  86. SO Final