Tue, Jan 17, 2012·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 115 | 110 | 012 | 04 | 2 | 341 |
| VAN | 010 | 19 | 112 | 02 | 1 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:06LAKDustin PennerAssists: Drew Doughty, Rob Scuderi · Deflected, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 2:41VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 15:14LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Willie Mitchell, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.33 xG2–1
- P3 5:00VANDavid BoothAssists: Jannik Hansen, Cody Hodgson · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
- 2. LAK Justin Williams scored
- 3. VAN Cody Hodgson stopped
- 4. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
- 5. VAN Alexandre Burrows scored
- 6. LAK Mike Richards scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 15:11LAKColin Fraser: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:45LAKWillie Mitchell: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:45LAKColin Fraser: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:45VANKeith Ballard: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:22VANMaxim Lapierre: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 15:50LAKMike Richards: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:50VANJannik Hansen: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:51LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richards won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Lewis – Loktionov10:46
xG 0.66–0.19 (78%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Williams – Brown – Kopitar14:12
xG 0.58–0.26 (69%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Hunter – Fraser – Clifford4:42
xG 0.20–0.01 (95%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Stoll – Richards – Penner12:27
xG 0.61–0.65 (48%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Doughty15:41
xG 0.85–0.36 (70%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
- Greene – Johnson15:50
xG 0.51–0.14 (78%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov13:28
xG 0.91–0.69 (57%)attempts 17–17goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBooth – Hansen – Hodgson3:14
xG 0.45–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Booth7:35
xG 0.17–0.17 (50%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Higgins – Kesler – Raymond4:29
xG 0.21–0.29 (42%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Lapierre – Weise6:41
xG 0.16–0.30 (35%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Edler4:15
xG 0.14–0.05 (74%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Rome – Edler13:18
xG 0.62–0.61 (50%)attempts 14–12goals 1–1
- Hamhuis – Rome2:06
xG 0.09–0.09 (49%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).