Sat, Jan 21, 2012·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 17 | 14 | 06 | 02 | 0 | 219 |
| DET | 15 | 110 | 015 | 01 | 1 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:51CBJRyan RussellAssists: Derek Dorsett, Aaron Johnson · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 11:34DETNiklas KronwallAssists: Valtteri Filppula, Jiri Hudler · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 8:43CBJNikita NikitinPPAssists: Antoine Vermette · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 11:03DETNicklas LidstromPPAssists: Niklas Kronwall · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. DET Pavel Datsyuk stopped
- 2. CBJ Rick Nash stopped
- 3. DET Jiri Hudler stopped
- 4. CBJ Derek Dorsett stopped
- 5. DET Todd Bertuzzi stopped
- 6. CBJ Derick Brassard stopped
- 7. DET Valtteri Filppula scored
- 8. CBJ Ryan Johansen stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:32DETTomas Holmstrom: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:30CBJAaron Johnson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 7:05DETTomas Holmstrom: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 10:41CBJGrant Clitsome: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:02CBJAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:40CBJColton Gillies: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:09DETHenrik Zetterberg: Boarding5 min
- P3 10:09DETHenrik Zetterberg: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Datsyuk won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestPahlsson – Russell – Dorsett9:55
xG 0.39–0.12 (77%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Brassard – Gillies – Johansen2:13
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Gillies2:37
xG 0.01–0.02 (41%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Johansen2:20
xG 0.02–0.06 (27%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Methot – Moore16:41
xG 0.07–0.30 (20%)attempts 9–18goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Nikitin13:18
xG 0.05–0.28 (15%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Johnson – Clitsome11:48
xG 0.13–0.70 (16%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestCleary – Miller – Helm8:59
xG 0.78–0.07 (92%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Zetterberg – Filppula – Hudler10:58
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Holmstrom – Abdelkader – Emmerton5:13
xG 0.06–0.04 (63%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Datsyuk – Franzen11:35
xG 0.27–0.32 (46%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStuart – Kronwall13:08
xG 0.53–0.10 (84%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Lidstrom – White11:59
xG 0.41–0.08 (83%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Commodore – Ericsson12:02
xG 0.18–0.11 (63%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).