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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 23, 2012·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 62% of the time.

NSH winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Fisher, saved by Mason
  3. P1 2:38Shot by Gillies, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 4:06Shot by Suter, saved by Mason
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Klein, saved by Mason
  6. P1 4:43Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  7. P1 7:36Shot by Legwand, saved by Mason
  8. P1 7:53Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 8:07Goal by Fisher (Erat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · CBJ Prospal, MacKenzie, Vermette, Tyutin, Lebda

  10. P1 9:13Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  11. P1 10:42Moore: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Erat, Tootoo, Kostitsyn, Spaling, Hillen, Ellis · CBJ MacKenzie, Nash, Methot, Gillies, Moore

  12. P1 10:54Shot by Suter, saved by Mason5v4
  13. P1 11:04Shot by Weber, saved by Mason5v4
  14. P1 13:04Shot by Clitsome, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 15:46Shot by Fisher, saved by Mason
  16. P1 16:48Shot by Legwand, saved by Mason
  17. P1 16:52Lebda: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson · CBJ Prospal, Vermette, Tyutin, Nash, Lebda

  18. P1 17:44Shot by Wilson, saved by Mason5v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:19Shot by Tyutin, saved by Rinne
  22. P2 1:04Shot by Umberger, saved by Rinne
  23. P2 1:40Shot by Spaling, saved by Mason
  24. P2 2:36Shot by Tyutin, saved by Rinne
  25. P2 3:33Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 4:06Shot by Umberger, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 4:17Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 4:29Shot by Clitsome, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 5:05Shot by Bourque, saved by Mason
  30. P2 5:12Shot by Tootoo, saved by Mason
  31. P2 5:33Shot by Methot, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 6:14Goal by Nash (Vermette)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · CBJ Prospal, Vermette, Tyutin, Nash, Lebda

  33. P2 6:52Shot by Wilson, saved by Mason
  34. P2 7:56Shot by Dorsett, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 8:39Shot by Moore, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 8:53Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Mason
  37. P2 8:58Erat: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · CBJ Prospal, Vermette, Nash, Methot, Moore

  38. P2 10:13Shot by Clitsome, saved by Rinne4v5
  39. P2 10:37Shot by Clitsome, saved by Rinne4v5
  40. P2 10:46Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne4v5
  41. P2 12:06Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  42. P2 13:29Shot by Klein, saved by Mason
  43. P2 14:47Shot by Boll, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 15:23Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 15:35Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  46. P2 15:58Shot by Weber, saved by Mason
  47. P2 16:20Hornqvist: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Halischuk, Hillen, Ellis, Smith · CBJ Pahlsson, Methot, Russell, Dorsett, Moore

  48. P2 18:00Umberger: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Klein, Halischuk, Josi · CBJ Vermette, Johnson, Clitsome, Brassard, Kubalik

  49. P2 18:06Shot by Josi, saved by Mason4v4
  50. P2 19:29Shot by Weber, saved by Mason5v4
  51. P2 19:31Goal by Fisher (Weber, Suter)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist · CBJ MacKenzie, Vermette, Methot, Moore

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:52Tyutin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Smith · CBJ Prospal, Vermette, Tyutin, Nash, Lebda

  55. P3 4:51Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne5v4
  56. P3 5:04Shot by Prospal, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 6:05Shot by Umberger, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 7:37Goal by Halischuk (Smith, Ellis)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Halischuk, Hillen, Ellis, Smith · CBJ MacKenzie, Methot, Boll, Gillies, Moore

  59. P3 8:36Shot by Bourque, saved by Mason
  60. P3 11:17Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 13:57Shot by Prospal, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 14:07Shot by Nash, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 14:43Shot by Hillen, saved by Mason
  64. P3 15:51Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Mason6v5
  65. P3 15:52Dorsett: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Josi, Smith · CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Lebda, Dorsett, Brassard

  66. P3 16:51Goal by Hornqvist (Suter, Erat)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist · CBJ MacKenzie, Nash, Methot, Moore

  67. P3 18:57Shot by Prospal, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final