Tue, Jan 31, 2012·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, San Jose Sharks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 011 | 012 | 07 | 030 |
| SJS | 218 | 215 | 210 | 643 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:53SJSPatrick MarleauGWGAssists: Justin Braun, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.29 xG0–1
- P1 9:43SJSJoe ThorntonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 4:56SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Logan Couture, Joe Thornton · Slap, 0.05 xG0–3
- P2 16:55SJSJamie McGinnAssists: Douglas Murray, Michal Handzus · Wrist, 0.36 xG0–4
- P3 1:54SJSMichal HandzusAssists: Jamie McGinn · Wrist, 0.39 xG0–5
- P3 10:54SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Joe Pavelski, Andrew Desjardins · Snap, 0.09 xG0–6
Penalties (19)
- P1 0:20CBJJared Boll: Illegal check to head2 min
- P1 7:55CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:55SJSJim Vandermeer: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:48CBJDerick Brassard: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 2:27CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:27SJSJim Vandermeer: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:27SJSJim Vandermeer: Boarding2 min
- P3 15:54SJSDan Boyle: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:54CBJDerick Brassard: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:54SJSDan Boyle: Misconduct10 min
- P3 16:50SJSTorrey Mitchell: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:50CBJDerek MacKenzie: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:08CBJDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:08SJSJustin Braun: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:08CBJFedor Tyutin: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:08SJSColin White: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:08CBJDerek Dorsett: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:39CBJAaron Johnson: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:39SJSJohn McCarthy: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against MacKenzie
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestProspal – Vermette – Nash8:44
xG 0.46–0.36 (56%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Umberger – Nash – Brassard3:47
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Gillies7:23
xG 0.11–0.27 (29%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Pahlsson – Russell – Dorsett11:29
xG 0.43–0.71 (37%)attempts 14–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Lebda17:30
xG 0.87–0.64 (57%)attempts 22–21goals 0–1
- Clitsome – Savard14:57
xG 0.63–1.21 (34%)attempts 18–10goals 0–1
- Johnson – Moore16:54
xG 0.21–0.93 (18%)attempts 10–21goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHandzus – Mitchell – McGinn11:24
xG 1.52–0.23 (87%)attempts 13–9goals 2–0
- Marleau – Ferriero – Couture11:07
xG 0.55–0.33 (63%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Desjardins11:42
xG 0.63–0.45 (58%)attempts 18–9goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestWhite – Braun12:00
xG 1.47–0.18 (89%)attempts 15–11goals 2–0
- Murray – Burns13:04
xG 1.11–0.71 (61%)attempts 19–17goals 2–0
- Boyle – Vlasic15:04
xG 0.59–0.35 (63%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).