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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 2, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Pyatt, saved by Pavelec
  3. P1 2:00Shot by Wellwood, saved by Garon
  4. P1 4:02Shot by Little, saved by Garon
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Little, saved by Garon
  6. P1 6:13Downie: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Gervais, Downie, Purcell, Stamkos · WPG Miettinen, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Gagnon, Burmistrov

  7. P1 7:56Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Garon4v5
  8. P1 9:24Shot by Shannon, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 10:20Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  10. P1 11:45Shot by Brewer, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 13:10Shot by Bogosian, saved by Garon
  12. P1 15:08Shot by Gervais, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 16:02Shot by Fehr, saved by Garon
  14. P1 17:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  15. P1 19:59Shot by Little, saved by Garon
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 1:12Shot by Downie, saved by Pavelec
  19. P2 1:54Gagnon: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gervais, Pyatt, Hedman · WPG Antropov, Wellwood, Oduya, Fehr, Stuart

  20. P2 2:09Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec5v4
  21. P2 4:09Downie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Downie, Purcell · WPG Hainsey, Slater, Enstrom, Glass, Gagnon

  22. P2 4:09Enstrom: Diving (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Downie, Purcell · WPG Hainsey, Slater, Enstrom, Glass, Gagnon

  23. P2 4:28Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Garon4v4
  24. P2 4:33Shot by Little, saved by Garon4v4
  25. P2 5:31Shot by Hainsey, saved by Garon4v4
  26. P2 6:06Shot by Wellwood, saved by Garon4v4
  27. P2 6:13Shot by Pyatt, saved by Pavelec
  28. P2 6:51Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Garon
  29. P2 6:52Gilroy: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Moore, Wyman, Shannon, Gilroy, Hedman · WPG Antropov, Fehr, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Burmistrov

  30. P2 7:47Shot by Wyman, saved by Pavelec4v5
  31. P2 9:26Shot by Mikkelson, saved by Pavelec
  32. P2 9:40Shot by St. Louis, saved by Pavelec
  33. P2 14:41Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  34. P2 14:42Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  35. P2 14:48Shot by Gilroy, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 15:39Shot by Purcell, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 16:11Shot by Kubina, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 16:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Pavelec
  39. P2 18:09Shot by Mikkelson, saved by Pavelec
  40. P2 18:16Shot by Downie, saved by Pavelec
  41. P2 19:17Shot by Kubina, saved by Pavelec
  42. P2 19:42Shot by Slater, saved by Garon
  43. P2 19:44Goal by Wheeler (Slater, Ladd)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos · WPG Hainsey, Slater, Ladd, Wheeler, Bogosian

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:19Shot by Ladd, saved by Garon
  47. P3 0:27Shot by Wheeler, saved by Garon
  48. P3 1:56Shot by Wellwood, saved by Garon
  49. P3 3:07Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  50. P3 3:55Shot by Brewer, saved by Pavelec
  51. P3 6:56Shot by Labrie, saved by Pavelec
  52. P3 8:13Shot by Moore, saved by Pavelec
  53. P3 9:38Shot by Gervais, saved by Pavelec
  54. P3 10:34Goal by Hedman (St. Louis, Stamkos)+36 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy, Hedman · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  55. P3 11:33Shot by Bogosian, saved by Garon
  56. P3 11:49Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Pavelec
  57. P3 12:17Shot by Thompson, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 12:28Shot by Bogosian, saved by Garon
  59. P3 13:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  60. P3 15:40Shot by Kubina, saved by Pavelec
  61. P3 15:50Ladd: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Moore, Downie · WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little

  62. P3 16:12Shot by Glass, saved by Garon5v4
  63. P3 18:26Shot by Ladd, saved by Garon
  64. P3 18:51Shot by Thorburn, saved by Garon
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. OT 0:00Period start
  67. OT 0:21Shot by Little, saved by Garon4v4
  68. OT 3:14Goal by Wellwood (Wheeler, Byfuglien)4v4+52 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Shannon, Hedman · WPG Wellwood, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler

  69. OT 3:14Period end
  70. OT 3:14Final