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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 2, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ladd–Wheeler–LittleThorburn–Slater–GlassAntropov–Wellwood–FehrMiettinen–Gagnon–BurmistrovSlater–Ladd–WheelerSlater–Glass–WheelerEnstrom–ByfuglienHainsey–BogosianOduya–StuartHainsey–Oduya
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos3:180.11–0.113:060.02–0.030:380.00–0.000:340.02–0.292:220.06–0.112:460.02–0.251:270.04–0.00
Downie–Purcell–Stamkos1:470.17–0.001:400.00–0.070:370.00–0.011:330.01–0.002:380.02–0.060:410.17–0.01
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pyatt0:510.02–0.061:470.00–0.001:120.00–0.102:170.02–0.101:260.00–0.060:520.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Moore–Pyatt1:560.04–0.000:470.02–0.002:010.06–0.041:120.00–0.00
Moore–Thompson–Wyman0:530.00–0.130:350.00–0.031:350.00–0.16
Moore–Thompson–Labrie0:480.14–0.000:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:060.14–0.00
Lecavalier–Thompson–Shannon0:330.12–0.000:340.02–0.000:510.07–0.001:110.12–0.000:470.09–0.00
Thompson–Shannon–Downie0:440.00–0.041:060.00–0.04
Moore–Thompson–Pyatt0:460.00–0.020:460.00–0.000:460.00–0.02
Moore–Downie–Pyatt0:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Moore0:540.08–0.001:040.08–0.00
Kubina–Brewer9:100.54–0.210:520.00–0.002:020.05–0.001:250.00–0.015:390.35–0.134:240.03–0.333:370.24–0.030:320.00–0.00
Clark–Hedman2:230.17–0.132:430.01–0.021:020.07–0.001:480.12–0.000:310.02–0.002:180.01–0.043:390.21–0.003:170.17–0.13
Gervais–Mikkelson1:110.00–0.002:360.05–0.003:320.02–0.170:450.10–0.000:320.02–0.053:520.14–0.023:090.02–0.101:260.00–0.03
Gilroy–Hedman0:330.06–0.001:560.02–0.010:320.00–0.100:450.00–0.001:500.06–0.221:250.02–0.010:450.00–0.00
Mikkelson–Gilroy0:470.03–0.000:390.00–0.000:350.10–0.002:060.13–0.00
Clark–Mikkelson0:360.00–0.001:010.07–0.020:400.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Gervais–Hedman0:420.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMoore FThompson FLabrie FLecavalier FPyatt FSt. Louis FStamkos FDownie FPurcell FWyman FShannon FClark DHedman DKubina DBrewer DGervais DMikkelson DGilroy DGaron GGlass FSlater FThorburn FLadd FLittle FWheeler FWellwood FFehr FAntropov FBurmistrov FMiettinen FGagnon FStuart DOduya DByfuglien DEnstrom DHainsey DBogosian DPavelec G
TBLWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Martin St. LouisTBL2526:261:032:4522
Dustin ByfuglienWPG2625:360:592:1224
Steven StamkosTBL2624:200:561:3042
Toby EnstromWPG2923:490:492:1524
Eric BrewerTBL3023:130:461:1625
Zach BogosianWPG2522:520:551:5332
Andrew LaddWPG2521:450:522:0342
Blake WheelerWPG2521:420:521:5042
Ron HainseyWPG2621:340:501:2824
Vincent LecavalierTBL2321:280:562:4531
Bryan LittleWPG2520:570:501:2544
Pavel KubinaTBL2920:560:431:5315
Victor HedmanTBL2820:540:451:2410
Brendan MikkelsonTBL2319:440:511:2571
Dominic MooreTBL2418:380:471:2421
Tom PyattTBL2317:580:471:1846
Johnny OduyaWPG2717:470:401:2414
Teddy PurcellTBL2317:410:461:1922
Brett ClarkTBL2317:240:451:2530
Jim SlaterWPG2516:540:411:1106
Steve DownieTBL2016:290:491:3531
Nate ThompsonTBL2215:460:431:3103
Kyle WellwoodWPG2015:030:451:3610
Tanner GlassWPG2215:020:411:1104
Bruno GervaisTBL1514:541:002:0730
Nik AntropovWPG1914:340:461:2301
Mark StuartWPG2314:160:370:5613
Eric FehrWPG1712:480:451:0601
Chris ThorburnWPG1812:200:411:1102
Alexander BurmistrovWPG1611:270:431:2120
Antti MiettinenWPG149:510:421:1730
Matt GilroyTBL139:360:441:1310
Aaron GagnonWPG138:390:401:2520
Ryan ShannonTBL118:260:461:1600
JT WymanTBL127:530:391:2400
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL65:100:521:3900