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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 13, 2012·Centre Bell, Montreal

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Montréal Canadiens 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Final

Home

Montréal Canadiens

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 78% of the time.

MTL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Tlusty, saved by Price
  3. P1 0:20Shot by Bourque, saved by Ward
  4. P1 0:22Shot by Bourque, saved by Ward
  5. P1 1:52Shot by Palushaj, saved by Ward
  6. P1 2:36Shot by Stewart, saved by Price
  7. P1 3:03Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  8. P1 3:09Goal by Tlusty (Allen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Darche, Plekanec, Emelin, Bourque, Diaz · CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty

  9. P1 6:30Shot by Nodl, saved by Price
  10. P1 6:34Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  11. P1 8:18Shot by Samson, saved by Price
  12. P1 9:20Shot by Plekanec, saved by Ward
  13. P1 10:49Bourque: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Darche, Plekanec, Gorges, Bourque, Subban · CAR Harrison, Sutter, Samson, Faulk, Skinner

  14. P1 11:03Shot by LaRose, saved by Price4v5
  15. P1 12:10Shot by Jokinen, saved by Price4v5
  16. P1 12:12Shot by LaRose, saved by Price4v5
  17. P1 12:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Price4v5
  18. P1 13:33Emelin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Gomez, Cole, Emelin, Pacioretty · CAR Harrison, Stewart, Tlusty, Sutter, Faulk

  19. P1 14:23Shot by Faulk, saved by Price4v5
  20. P1 15:28Shot by Skinner, saved by Price4v5
  21. P1 16:20Shot by Cole, saved by Ward
  22. P1 16:55Shot by Cole, saved by Ward
  23. P1 17:44Shot by Samson, saved by Price
  24. P1 18:55Shot by Sutter, saved by Price
  25. P1 19:33Shot by LaRose, saved by Price
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:01Shot by Palushaj, saved by Ward
  29. P2 2:07Shot by Cole, saved by Ward
  30. P2 2:39Shot by Brent, saved by Price
  31. P2 3:47Staal: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Darche, Plekanec, Gorges, Bourque, Subban · CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Stewart, Tlusty

  32. P2 3:56Shot by Dwyer, saved by Price5v4
  33. P2 3:59Subban: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Sutter, Faulk

  34. P2 6:08Shot by Allen, saved by Price
  35. P2 6:35Shot by McBain, saved by Price
  36. P2 6:37Shot by Stewart, saved by Price
  37. P2 6:45Skinner: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty · CAR Allen, Spacek, Sutter, Samson, Skinner

  38. P2 6:45Desharnais: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty · CAR Allen, Spacek, Sutter, Samson, Skinner

  39. P2 8:00Shot by McBain, saved by Price4v4
  40. P2 8:03Diaz: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MTL Gomez, Gorges, Bourque, Diaz · CAR Spacek, Dwyer, McBain, Sutter

  41. P2 9:41Goal by Spacek (Skinner, Jokinen)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, LaRose, Brent, Skinner

  42. P2 10:21Shot by Campoli, saved by Ward
  43. P2 10:31Shot by Desharnais, saved by Ward
  44. P2 11:53Goal by Plekanec (Campoli, Darche)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Darche, Plekanec, Campoli, Bourque · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, McBain, Samson, Skinner

  45. P2 15:03Skinner: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Cole, Darche, Plekanec, Gorges, Subban, Pacioretty · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, McBain, Samson, Skinner

  46. P2 15:16Shot by Desharnais, saved by Ward5v4
  47. P2 15:57Goal by Cole (Desharnais, Kaberle)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Dwyer, Faulk

  48. P2 16:18Shot by Darche, saved by Ward
  49. P2 16:34Shot by Eller, saved by Ward
  50. P2 16:36Harrison: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Campoli, Palushaj, Eller, Leblanc · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Nodl, Sutter, Faulk

  51. P2 17:36Shot by Subban, saved by Ward5v4
  52. P2 17:51Shot by Subban, saved by Ward5v4
  53. P2 17:53Goal by Desharnais (Subban, Pacioretty)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose

  54. P2 18:11Shot by Tlusty, saved by Price
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:35Shot by Plekanec, saved by Ward
  58. P3 0:38Shot by Plekanec, saved by Ward
  59. P3 0:42Shot by Darche, saved by Ward
  60. P3 0:45Shot by Emelin, saved by Ward
  61. P3 1:49Shot by McBain, saved by Price
  62. P3 2:19Shot by Eller, saved by Ward
  63. P3 3:00Shot by Diaz, saved by Ward
  64. P3 3:02Allen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Diaz · CAR Allen, Gleason, Stewart, Tlusty, Skinner

  65. P3 3:15Goal by Staal, unassisted5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · CAR Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, McBain

  66. P3 4:12Shot by Plekanec, saved by Ward5v4
  67. P3 4:18Shot by Diaz, saved by Ward5v4
  68. P3 6:38Shot by Desharnais, saved by Ward
  69. P3 7:27Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  70. P3 8:11Campoli: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Kostitsyn, Emelin, Eller, Leblanc · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Nodl, Sutter

  71. P3 8:50Goal by McBain (Staal, Faulk)4v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Darche, Plekanec, Gorges · CAR LaRose, Brent, Staal, McBain, Faulk

  72. P3 10:10Shot by Palushaj, saved by Ward
  73. P3 11:05Shot by Sutter, saved by Price
  74. P3 11:16Shot by Stewart, saved by Price
  75. P3 11:38Shot by Cole, saved by Ward
  76. P3 11:53Shot by Stewart, saved by Price
  77. P3 11:56Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  78. P3 12:50Shot by LaRose, saved by Price
  79. P3 14:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Price
  80. P3 14:46Samson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Campoli, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Diaz · CAR Allen, Jokinen, Samson, Faulk, Skinner

  81. P3 15:37Shot by Subban, saved by Ward5v4
  82. P3 16:04Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward5v4
  83. P3 18:08Allen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Darche, Bourque, Subban, Eller · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Nodl, Sutter

  84. P3 18:08Bourque: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Darche, Bourque, Subban, Eller · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Nodl, Sutter

  85. P3 19:24Goal by Staal (McBain)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Plekanec, Desharnais, Subban · CAR Harrison, Staal, McBain, Sutter

  86. P3 19:38Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Ward5v4
  87. P3 0:00Subban: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v3

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty · CAR Gleason, Staal, Sutter, Faulk

  88. P3 0:00Gleason: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Cole, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty · CAR Gleason, Staal, Sutter, Faulk

  89. P3 19:52Shot by Subban, saved by Ward5v4
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final