Sun, Feb 19, 2012·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 115 | 07 | 08 | 130 |
| CHI | 04 | 09 | 314 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:36STLAndy McDonaldAssists: Jamie Langenbrunner, Patrik Berglund · Wrist, 0.43 xG1–0
- P3 4:52CHIDuncan KeithAssists: Patrick Sharp, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P3 13:03CHIDave BollandGWGAssists: Duncan Keith, Bryan Bickell · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 19:10CHIMarian HossaENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.54 xG1–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:43STLT.J. Oshie: Interference2 min
- P1 7:16STLVladimir Sobotka: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 9:56CHIJamal Mayers: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:55STLVladimir Sobotka: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 19:51STLAlex Pietrangelo: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:51STLRyan Reaves: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:51STLB.J. Crombeen: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:51CHIJohn Scott: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:51CHIJohn Scott: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:51CHIJamal Mayers: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestLangenbrunner – McDonald – Berglund12:09
xG 1.54–0.37 (81%)attempts 15–8goals 1–0
- Nichol – Crombeen – Reaves5:53
xG 0.14–0.10 (59%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Backes – Oshie – Sobotka3:13
xG 0.12–0.08 (59%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Backes – Oshie – Perron10:29
xG 0.37–0.69 (35%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHuskins – Pietrangelo13:37
xG 1.70–0.75 (69%)attempts 14–13goals 1–2
- Shattenkirk – Pietrangelo4:11
xG 0.27–0.05 (85%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Polak – Russell16:06
xG 0.50–0.58 (46%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBolland – Bickell – Stalberg8:44
xG 0.50–0.25 (67%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Brunette – Hossa – Kruger9:56
xG 0.18–0.22 (46%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Sharp – Toews – Kane13:33
xG 0.08–0.61 (12%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Leddy17:07
xG 0.67–0.59 (53%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Keith – Olsen17:02
xG 0.90–0.87 (51%)attempts 18–14goals 2–0
- Keith – Seabrook3:59
xG 0.05–0.03 (61%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).