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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 21, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 1, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Grabner, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:19Shot by Leino, saved by Poulin
  4. P1 1:20Shot by Pominville, saved by Poulin
  5. P1 1:21Goal by Myers (Roy, Pominville)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Leino, Myers · NYI Streit, Grabner, MacDonald, Bailey, Martin

  6. P1 1:43Shot by Martin, saved by Miller
  7. P1 1:48Shot by Staios, saved by Miller
  8. P1 2:33Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Miller
  9. P1 4:44Shot by Martin, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:00Shot by Leopold, saved by Poulin
  11. P1 6:15Shot by Ellis, saved by Poulin
  12. P1 6:26Shot by Myers, saved by Poulin
  13. P1 6:48Shot by Regehr, saved by Poulin
  14. P1 6:55Shot by Regehr, saved by Poulin
  15. P1 7:47Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Poulin
  16. P1 8:10Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller
  17. P1 8:13Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller
  18. P1 8:52Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller
  19. P1 9:10Shot by Pominville, saved by Poulin
  20. P1 9:21Shot by Grabner, saved by Miller
  21. P1 9:33Shot by Gerbe, saved by Poulin
  22. P1 11:11Shot by Boyes, saved by Poulin
  23. P1 12:45Shot by Nielsen, saved by Miller
  24. P1 12:53Pominville: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Weber · NYI Streit, Jurcina, Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, Tavares

  25. P1 13:01Shot by Streit, saved by Miller4v5
  26. P1 13:08Shot by Parenteau, saved by Miller4v5
  27. P1 14:46Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller4v5
  28. P1 16:59Shot by Myers, saved by Poulin
  29. P1 19:07Shot by Moulson, saved by Miller
  30. P1 0:00Kaleta: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Ellis, Kaleta, Myers · NYI Streit, Jurcina, Parenteau, Moulson, Tavares

  31. P1 0:00Parenteau: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Ellis, Kaleta, Myers · NYI Streit, Jurcina, Parenteau, Moulson, Tavares

  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:41Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Poulin4v4
  35. P2 0:46Shot by Leopold, saved by Poulin4v4
  36. P2 1:12Shot by Streit, saved by Miller4v4
  37. P2 1:45Shot by Stafford, saved by Poulin4v4
  38. P2 1:51Shot by Sekera, saved by Poulin4v4
  39. P2 3:24Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller
  40. P2 3:41Goal by Vanek (Roy, Pominville)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Myers · NYI Rolston, MacDonald, Bailey, Ness, Niederreiter

  41. P2 4:32Shot by Myers, saved by Poulin
  42. P2 5:24Shot by Gerbe, saved by Poulin
  43. P2 6:30Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller
  44. P2 6:31Shot by Bailey, saved by Miller
  45. P2 6:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Poulin
  46. P2 9:06Shot by Tavares, saved by Miller
  47. P2 9:37Shot by Jurcina, saved by Miller
  48. P2 12:06Shot by Sekera, saved by Poulin
  49. P2 12:12Shot by Weber, saved by Poulin
  50. P2 12:36Shot by Weber, saved by Poulin
  51. P2 15:00Shot by Myers, saved by Poulin
  52. P2 17:14Martin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber, Myers · NYI Pandolfo, Reasoner, Jurcina, Ness, Martin

  53. P2 17:14Weber: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber, Myers · NYI Pandolfo, Reasoner, Jurcina, Ness, Martin

  54. P2 17:51Eaton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers · NYI Eaton, Parenteau, Nielsen, MacDonald, Niederreiter

  55. P2 18:56Shot by Roy, saved by Poulin5v4
  56. P2 18:57Shot by Roy, saved by Poulin5v4
  57. P2 19:55Shot by Leino, saved by Poulin
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:52Shot by Roy, saved by Poulin
  61. P3 2:13Shot by Leopold, saved by Poulin
  62. P3 4:19Shot by Jurcina, saved by Miller
  63. P3 4:41Shot by Ellis, saved by Poulin
  64. P3 4:46Shot by Kassian, saved by Poulin
  65. P3 5:00Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller
  66. P3 9:05Shot by Rolston, saved by Miller
  67. P3 11:32Shot by Stafford, saved by Poulin
  68. P3 11:37Shot by Stafford, saved by Poulin
  69. P3 11:42Shot by Leopold, saved by Poulin
  70. P3 12:04Shot by Vanek, saved by Poulin
  71. P3 12:54Shot by Gaustad, saved by Poulin
  72. P3 13:56Shot by Martin, saved by Miller
  73. P3 14:00Shot by Staios, saved by Miller
  74. P3 14:52Goal by Nielsen (Parenteau, Poulin)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Weber · NYI Streit, Jurcina, Parenteau, Nielsen, Grabner

  75. P3 15:55Shot by Moulson, saved by Miller
  76. P3 16:34Shot by Streit, saved by Miller
  77. P3 17:18Shot by Moulson, saved by Miller
  78. P3 18:10Shot by Parenteau, saved by Miller
  79. P3 19:45Shot by Nielsen, saved by Miller5v6
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final