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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 23, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

San Jose Sharks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

TOR winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Lupul, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 1:07Shot by Couture, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 1:12Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 1:33Shot by Liles, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 2:39Shot by Marleau, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 7:05Shot by Vandermeer, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 9:39Shot by Lombardi, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 11:42Shot by Connolly, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 13:34Shot by Burns, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 14:54Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 15:23Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Niemi
  13. P1 18:59Shot by Braun, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:32Goal by Marleau (Thornton, Wingels)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Demers, Wingels

  17. P2 1:50Shot by Connolly, saved by Niemi
  18. P2 2:11Shot by Schenn, saved by Niemi
  19. P2 3:55Shot by Wingels, saved by Reimer
  20. P2 4:22Shot by Franson, saved by Niemi
  21. P2 6:42Shot by Wingels, saved by Reimer
  22. P2 8:00Shot by Thornton, saved by Reimer
  23. P2 8:48Shot by Pavelski, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 8:54Shot by Winchester, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 10:27Shot by White, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 10:27Schenn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · SJS White, Clowe, Braun, Couture, Wingels

  27. P2 10:43Goal by Marleau (Couture, Boyle)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Couture

  28. P2 12:15Shot by MacArthur, saved by Niemi
  29. P2 12:29Grabovski: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Demers

  30. P2 13:00Shot by Gardiner, saved by Niemi4v5
  31. P2 13:53Shot by Lombardi, saved by Niemi4v5
  32. P2 13:59Shot by Schenn, saved by Niemi4v5
  33. P2 14:31Shot by Crabb, saved by Niemi
  34. P2 16:49Shot by Couture, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 17:33Shot by MacArthur, saved by Niemi
  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 0:24Shot by Grabovski, saved by Niemi
  39. P3 0:34Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Niemi
  40. P3 1:20Shot by Lupul, saved by Niemi
  41. P3 1:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Niemi
  42. P3 1:26Shot by Liles, saved by Niemi
  43. P3 2:48Brown: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Brown, Gunnarsson · SJS Vandermeer, Winchester, Burns, Vlasic, Desjardins

  44. P3 2:48Vandermeer: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Brown, Gunnarsson · SJS Vandermeer, Winchester, Burns, Vlasic, Desjardins

  45. P3 3:18Shot by Burns, saved by Reimer
  46. P3 3:27Shot by Kulemin, saved by Niemi
  47. P3 3:53Goal by Gardiner (Kessel, Schenn)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · SJS Boyle, Clowe, Vlasic, Couture, Wingels

  48. P3 4:02Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 5:24Shot by White, saved by Reimer
  50. P3 5:31Shot by White, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 6:57Shot by Grabovski, saved by Niemi
  52. P3 8:49Shot by Lombardi, saved by Niemi
  53. P3 9:06Shot by Crabb, saved by Niemi
  54. P3 9:16Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 10:15Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Niemi
  56. P3 10:27Shot by Bozak, saved by Niemi
  57. P3 11:38Shot by Lombardi, saved by Niemi
  58. P3 11:55Shot by Pavelski, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 12:54Shot by Couture, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 13:26Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Niemi
  61. P3 14:38Shot by Pavelski, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 15:27Shot by Wingels, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 15:41Shot by McGinn, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 16:19Shot by Lupul, saved by Niemi
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final