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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 25, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh

Florida Panthers 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 62% of the time.

CAR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  3. P1 1:13Shot by Kopecky, saved by Peters
  4. P1 2:54Shot by Skille, saved by Peters
  5. P1 3:16Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  6. P1 3:20Shot by Weaver, saved by Peters
  7. P1 4:19Shot by Garrison, saved by Peters
  8. P1 5:34Shot by Matthias, saved by Peters
  9. P1 5:51Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Peters
  10. P1 5:53Shot by Barch, saved by Peters
  11. P1 6:45Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Peters
  12. P1 7:17Shot by Matthias, saved by Peters
  13. P1 8:09Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore
  14. P1 8:11Shot by Tlusty, saved by Theodore
  15. P1 8:20Shot by Barch, saved by Peters
  16. P1 9:01Shot by Nodl, saved by Theodore
  17. P1 9:44Gleason: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, Samson · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Skille, Garrison

  18. P1 10:23Shot by Garrison, saved by Peters4v5
  19. P1 12:10Shot by Spacek, saved by Theodore
  20. P1 13:31Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  21. P1 14:13Shot by Stewart, saved by Theodore
  22. P1 14:28Shot by Ellerby, saved by Peters
  23. P1 15:18Shot by Bowman, saved by Theodore
  24. P1 15:40Shot by Matthias, saved by Peters
  25. P1 16:02Shot by Garrison, saved by Peters
  26. P1 16:23Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Peters
  27. P1 16:58Shot by Nodl, saved by Theodore
  28. P1 17:31Shot by Sutter, saved by Theodore
  29. P1 17:49Barch: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Sutter, Bowman, Skinner · FLA Jovanovski, Barch, Smithson, Skille, Gudbranson

  30. P1 18:01Goal by Faulk (Staal, Samson)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Brent, Staal, Tlusty, Samson, Faulk · FLA Smithson, Weaver, Kopecky, Garrison

  31. P1 18:46Shot by Wolski, saved by Peters
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:03Shot by Samson, saved by Theodore
  35. P2 1:09Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 1:50Shot by Spacek, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 3:12Gudbranson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Staal, Stewart, Joslin, Faulk · FLA Barch, Smithson, Skille, Ellerby, Gudbranson

  38. P2 4:51Shot by McBain, saved by Theodore5v4
  39. P2 6:00Shot by Nodl, saved by Theodore
  40. P2 6:54Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  41. P2 8:41Shot by Weiss, saved by Peters
  42. P2 10:21Shot by Kopecky, saved by Peters
  43. P2 10:27Shot by Campbell, saved by Peters
  44. P2 12:48Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Peters
  45. P2 12:56Shot by Garrison, saved by Peters
  46. P2 13:34Shot by Wolski, saved by Peters
  47. P2 14:35Shot by Kopecky, saved by Peters
  48. P2 15:26Shot by Skille, saved by Peters
  49. P2 15:39Shot by Campbell, saved by Peters
  50. P2 16:05Shot by Allen, saved by Theodore
  51. P2 16:09Shot by McBain, saved by Theodore
  52. P2 16:26Shot by Sutter, saved by Theodore
  53. P2 17:32Goal by Jokinen (Skinner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, Bowman, Skinner · FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby

  54. P2 17:56Shot by Stewart, saved by Theodore
  55. P2 19:00Shot by Garrison, saved by Peters
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:31Shot by Brent, saved by Theodore
  59. P3 1:04Shot by Jokinen, saved by Theodore
  60. P3 1:26Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Peters
  61. P3 2:09Allen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, Samson · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Bergenheim, Versteeg, Garrison

  62. P3 2:17Shot by Weiss, saved by Peters4v5
  63. P3 3:40Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore4v5
  64. P3 3:41Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore4v5
  65. P3 3:52Shot by Wolski, saved by Peters4v5
  66. P3 5:25Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Peters
  67. P3 5:28Shot by Garrison, saved by Peters
  68. P3 6:51Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore
  69. P3 7:13Shot by Ellerby, saved by Peters
  70. P3 8:33Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Peters
  71. P3 11:39Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore
  72. P3 13:58Goal by Fleischmann (Versteeg, Ellerby)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, Samson · FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby

  73. P3 14:11Shot by Nodl, saved by Theodore
  74. P3 15:10Shot by Smithson, saved by Peters
  75. P3 15:26Shot by Samson, saved by Theodore
  76. P3 15:34Shot by Smithson, saved by Peters
  77. P3 18:13Goal by Wolski (Matthias, Garrison)+40 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Tlusty, Samson, Skinner · FLA Smithson, Wolski, Matthias, Garrison, Gudbranson

  78. P3 18:52Shot by Garrison, saved by Peters
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 1:37Shot by Kopecky, saved by Peters4v4
  82. OT 2:49Shot by Staal, saved by Theodore4v4
  83. OT 2:51Gudbranson: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Staal, Tlusty, McBain · FLA Jovanovski, Samuelsson, Versteeg, Gudbranson

  84. OT 2:51Staal: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Staal, Tlusty, McBain · FLA Jovanovski, Samuelsson, Versteeg, Gudbranson

  85. OT 3:46Shot by Versteeg, saved by Peters3v3
  86. OT 5:00Period end
  87. SO Period start
  88. SO Goal by Samuelsson, unassistedother
  89. SO Goal by Skinner, unassistedother
  90. SO Shot by Wolski, saved by Petersother
  91. SO Goal by Weiss, unassistedother
  92. SO Period end
  93. SO Final