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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 26, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

New York Islanders 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 67% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Hamonic, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 0:49Goal by Tavares (Parenteau, Hamonic)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Butler · NYI Parenteau, Moulson, MacDonald, Hamonic, Tavares

  4. P1 3:10Shot by Parenteau, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 3:13Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 4:42Shot by Mottau, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 5:12Shot by Pandolfo, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:16Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 5:15Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 7:31Shot by Reasoner, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 10:29Shot by Jurcina, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 10:38Shot by Cizikas, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 11:04Shot by Michalek, saved by Nabokov
  14. P1 12:56Shot by Turris, saved by Nabokov
  15. P1 13:19Shot by Spezza, saved by Nabokov
  16. P1 14:58Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 15:07Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 16:13Shot by Foligno, saved by Nabokov
  19. P1 16:41Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Nabokov
  20. P1 16:51MacDonald: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Greening, Turris, Karlsson · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  21. P1 16:57Shot by Gonchar, saved by Nabokov5v4
  22. P1 18:53Shot by Spezza, saved by Nabokov
  23. P1 19:08Shot by Smith, saved by Nabokov
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:11Shot by Turris, saved by Nabokov
  27. P2 3:00Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lehner
  28. P2 3:16Shot by Butler, saved by Nabokov
  29. P2 3:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 3:44Shot by Parenteau, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 3:57Shot by Gonchar, saved by Nabokov
  32. P2 7:53Shot by Phillips, saved by Nabokov
  33. P2 10:09Shot by Eaton, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 10:14Shot by MacDonald, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 10:42Ullstrom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Lee, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · NYI Streit, Jurcina, Ullstrom, Martin, Cizikas

  36. P2 12:21Goal by Michalek (Karlsson, Turris)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Michalek, Turris, Karlsson · NYI Pandolfo, Nielsen, MacDonald, Hamonic

  37. P2 13:12Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 13:44Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Greening, Smith, Karlsson · NYI Pandolfo, Streit, Jurcina, Martin, Cizikas

  39. P2 14:35Shot by Parenteau, saved by Lehner4v5
  40. P2 15:00Parenteau: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Phillips, Michalek · NYI Streit, Parenteau, Nielsen, Moulson, Tavares

  41. P2 15:07Shot by Gonchar, saved by Nabokov4v4
  42. P2 16:22Goal by Spezza (Karlsson, Kuba)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson · NYI Eaton, Jurcina, Martin, Cizikas

  43. P2 17:40Shot by Hamonic, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 17:48Shot by Condra, saved by Nabokov
  45. P2 17:57Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 19:03Shot by Foligno, saved by Nabokov
  47. P2 19:13Shot by Neil, saved by Nabokov
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 3:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Nabokov
  51. P3 5:13Goal by O'Brien (Neil)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Lee, Foligno, O'Brien · NYI Mottau, Eaton, Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner

  52. P3 6:51Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Lehner
  53. P3 6:55Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Lehner
  54. P3 8:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  55. P3 9:04Goal by Parenteau (Hamonic, Moulson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Spezza, Michalek · NYI Parenteau, Moulson, MacDonald, Hamonic, Tavares

  56. P3 10:17Shot by Greening, saved by Nabokov
  57. P3 10:35Shot by Parenteau, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 10:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 12:08Shot by Martin, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 12:41Shot by Okposo, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 12:59Goal by Neil (Foligno)+11 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson · NYI Streit, Jurcina, Nielsen, Okposo, Ullstrom

  62. P3 15:47Shot by Karlsson, saved by Nabokov
  63. P3 17:49Goal by Turris (Foligno, Greening)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Greening, Foligno, Turris · NYI Streit, Jurcina, Parenteau, Nielsen, Okposo, Cizikas

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final