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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh

Nashville Predators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.

CAR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Faulk, saved by Lindback
  3. P1 2:35Shot by Smith, saved by Ward
  4. P1 2:42Goal by Smith (Halischuk, Bourque)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Brent, Stewart, Joslin, McBain · NSH Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Smith, Bourque

  5. P1 2:39Shot by Halischuk, saved by Ward
  6. P1 6:51Shot by Samson, saved by Lindback
  7. P1 6:59Shot by Tlusty, saved by Lindback
  8. P1 7:12Shot by Harrison, saved by Lindback
  9. P1 7:49Shot by Brent, saved by Lindback
  10. P1 8:29Shot by Spaling, saved by Ward
  11. P1 9:16Hillen: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Boychuk, Faulk, Skinner · NSH Bouillon, Halischuk, Hillen, Wilson, Smith

  12. P1 10:28Shot by McBain, saved by Lindback5v4
  13. P1 11:32Shot by Wilson, saved by Ward
  14. P1 14:12Shot by Samson, saved by Lindback
  15. P1 14:32Shot by Brent, saved by Lindback
  16. P1 15:42Shot by Boychuk, saved by Lindback
  17. P1 16:11Shot by Weber, saved by Ward
  18. P1 16:37Shot by Fisher, saved by Ward
  19. P1 18:57Shot by Tlusty, saved by Lindback
  20. P1 19:00Legwand: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Staal, Tlusty, Samson, Faulk · NSH Legwand, Suter, Kostitsyn, Weber, Hornqvist

  21. P1 19:23Shot by Brent, saved by Lindback5v4
  22. P1 19:29Shot by Faulk, saved by Lindback5v4
  23. P1 19:27Shot by Staal, saved by Lindback5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:55Wilson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal, Skinner · NSH Gill, Suter, Kostitsyn, Spaling

  27. P2 0:58Shot by McBain, saved by Lindback5v3
  28. P2 1:06Shot by McBain, saved by Lindback5v4
  29. P2 1:38Shot by Brent, saved by Lindback5v4
  30. P2 2:12Shot by Brent, saved by Lindback5v4
  31. P2 2:45Shot by McBain, saved by Lindback5v4
  32. P2 5:17Goal by McBain (Stewart)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Brent, Stewart, Joslin, McBain · NSH Gill, Bouillon, Tootoo, Spaling, Wilson

  33. P2 7:46Shot by Boychuk, saved by Lindback
  34. P2 7:56Shot by Faulk, saved by Lindback
  35. P2 10:09Shot by Samson, saved by Lindback
  36. P2 12:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Ward
  37. P2 12:31Goal by Wilson, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Staal, Tlusty, Nodl, McBain · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Tootoo, Suter, Wilson

  38. P2 12:52Kostitsyn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Sutter, Bowman, Samson, Faulk · NSH Fisher, Suter, Kostitsyn, Weber, Hornqvist

  39. P2 13:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Lindback5v4
  40. P2 13:04Goal by Staal (Skinner, Jokinen)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, Brent, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · NSH Gill, Fisher, Kostitsyn, Josi

  41. P2 13:31Shot by Faulk, saved by Lindback
  42. P2 16:05Shot by Suter, saved by Ward
  43. P2 17:13Weber: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Spacek, McBain, Sutter, Bowman, Samson · NSH Legwand, Suter, Kostitsyn, Weber, Hornqvist

  44. P2 17:24Goal by Brent (Skinner, Staal)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, Brent, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · NSH Gill, Halischuk, Spaling, Josi

  45. P2 18:50Shot by Suter, saved by Ward
  46. P2 18:56Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Ward
  47. P2 19:21Allen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty, Sutter · NSH Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Smith

  48. P2 19:59Shot by Suter, saved by Ward4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:30Shot by Suter, saved by Ward4v5
  52. P3 1:15Shot by Legwand, saved by Ward4v5
  53. P3 1:27Shot by Allen, saved by Lindback
  54. P3 1:28Goal by Allen (Staal)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Harrison, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Wilson, Josi, Smith

  55. P3 2:15Shot by Legwand, saved by Ward
  56. P3 2:18Goal by Bourque (Tootoo, Legwand)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Brent, Stewart, Joslin, McBain · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Tootoo, Hillen, Bourque

  57. P3 2:16Shot by Bourque, saved by Ward
  58. P3 2:56Shot by Allen, saved by Lindback
  59. P3 3:18Shot by Faulk, saved by Lindback
  60. P3 4:11Shot by Bourque, saved by Ward
  61. P3 4:19Shot by Josi, saved by Ward
  62. P3 5:20Shot by Suter, saved by Ward
  63. P3 5:46Shot by Suter, saved by Ward
  64. P3 6:32Shot by Weber, saved by Ward
  65. P3 8:27Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ward
  66. P3 8:35Shot by Legwand, saved by Ward
  67. P3 8:46Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ward
  68. P3 8:50Fisher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Brent, Joslin, Sutter, Faulk · NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn

  69. P3 10:36Shot by McBain, saved by Lindback5v4
  70. P3 11:03Shot by Joslin, saved by Lindback
  71. P3 14:12Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Ward
  72. P3 14:55Shot by Joslin, saved by Lindback
  73. P3 18:37Shot by Bouillon, saved by Ward
  74. P3 19:53Shot by Bourque, saved by Ward5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final