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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh

Nashville Predators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.

CAR winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Fisher–Erat–KostitsynLegwand–Kostitsyn–HornqvistTootoo–Spaling–WilsonHalischuk–Smith–BourqueLegwand–Tootoo–WilsonLegwand–Hornqvist–BourqueHalischuk–Spaling–BourqueTootoo–Wilson–SmithErat–Kostitsyn–SmithHalischuk–Spaling–WilsonFisher–Erat–BourqueFisher–Erat–KostitsynFisher–Tootoo–BourqueSuter–WeberBouillon–HillenGill–JosiBouillon–JosiWeber–HillenGill–Bouillon
Jokinen–Boychuk–Skinner1:160.00–0.000:340.04–0.001:150.00–0.001:510.13–0.000:500.04–0.010:550.00–0.003:100.09–0.011:320.06–0.002:580.04–0.000:560.00–0.00
Staal–Tlusty–Nodl2:170.02–0.040:370.00–0.050:470.02–0.003:150.00–0.041:040.02–0.001:040.02–0.00
Nodl–Sutter–Bowman3:130.07–0.000:530.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:100.00–0.012:010.07–0.000:510.00–0.00
Staal–Tlusty–Samson0:420.00–0.023:310.51–0.113:310.51–0.020:460.00–0.11
Sutter–Bowman–Samson1:380.24–0.031:440.14–0.180:390.10–0.00
Harrison–Faulk6:410.30–0.112:140.39–0.000:380.09–0.000:370.00–0.050:460.00–0.021:040.02–0.029:530.62–0.112:080.11–0.002:130.02–0.000:500.10–0.05
Allen–Gleason1:050.00–0.005:050.06–0.150:570.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:410.00–0.191:000.00–0.005:430.00–0.262:550.08–0.001:490.00–0.111:020.00–0.00
Spacek–McBain0:300.11–0.000:410.00–0.001:190.04–0.000:360.04–0.001:110.11–0.001:430.04–0.00
Allen–McBain0:370.07–0.00
Spacek–Gleason0:530.00–0.43
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNodl FSutter FBowman FStaal FSamson FTlusty FBoychuk FJokinen FSkinner FBrent FStewart FFaulk DHarrison DGleason DAllen DJoslin DMcBain DSpacek DWard GErat FFisher FKostitsyn FLegwand FHornqvist FKostitsyn FSpaling FWilson FTootoo FSmith FHalischuk FBourque FJosi DGill DHillen DBouillon DWeber DSuter DLindback G
CARNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH2929:521:022:1813
Ryan SuterNSH2729:041:052:3020
Justin FaulkCAR2824:010:511:2746
Eric StaalCAR2522:400:542:1354
Tim GleasonCAR2521:080:511:2514
Mike FisherNSH2420:570:522:0843
Bryan AllenCAR2320:070:521:2513
Jay HarrisonCAR2520:020:481:4325
Martin EratNSH2319:330:511:4633
Jiri TlustyCAR2518:580:461:2334
Jeff SkinnerCAR2518:330:452:1362
David LegwandNSH2418:200:461:3823
Roman JosiNSH2417:550:451:4737
Jussi JokinenCAR2817:280:371:5762
Brandon SutterCAR2717:100:381:4645
Tim BrentCAR2416:410:421:2285
Sergei KostitsynNSH2216:220:451:3143
Hal GillNSH2115:560:461:4726
Jamie McBainCAR2315:470:411:4752
Francis BouillonNSH2215:330:421:2421
Zach BoychukCAR2414:500:371:2733
Nick SpalingNSH2114:500:421:2006
Andreas NodlCAR2114:290:411:2423
Jaroslav SpacekCAR2013:520:421:3553
Patric HornqvistNSH1813:480:461:1711
Colin WilsonNSH1713:150:471:2521
Jordin TootooNSH1512:130:491:3922
Andrei KostitsynNSH1612:130:461:1721
Jerome SamsonCAR1611:530:451:3431
Jack HillenNSH1811:510:401:0322
Gabriel BourqueNSH1711:350:411:1330
Derek JoslinCAR1811:340:391:2233
Craig SmithNSH119:460:531:5720
Matt HalischukNSH149:460:421:2013
Anthony StewartCAR139:240:431:2231
Drayson BowmanCAR169:230:351:0130